Football · Georgia Erovnuli Liga · 21/08, 15:00

Prediction: Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Dinamo Batumi

Team pages: Meshakhte Tkibuli · Dinamo Batumi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Meshakhte Tkibuli0.73

Dinamo Batumi2

1X2

12% 22% 66%

Meshakhte Tkibuli Draw Dinamo Batumi

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

Meshakhte Tkibuli 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLWDLL

Dinamo Batumi 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLWWDW

Head-to-head

Meshakhte Tkibuli 0–1–2 Dinamo Batumi (3 last)

Dinamo Batumi2-1Meshakhte Tkibuli
Meshakhte Tkibuli0-0Dinamo Batumi
Meshakhte Tkibuli1-2Dinamo Batumi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Meshakhte Tkibuli 1421 · Dinamo Batumi 1540

	Meshakhte Tkibuli	Draw	Dinamo Batumi
Our model	12%	22%	66%
Market	12%	21%	67%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Batumi (rating 1421 vs 1540).
H2H favours Dinamo Batumi: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Meshakhte Tkibuli	Dinamo Batumi
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.2	1.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	1.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/70/30%	70/0/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 2.6	2.5 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.4	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

17.50

X4.33

21.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)2.00

2 (-1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 6 moves · last 13:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 7.50▲	Pinn 8.05 ★
X	3.70 → 4.33▲	Pinn 4.42
2	1.61 → 1.38▼	Bet365 1.38

See the full journey (6)

Bet365 margin 8.9% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:02 +2’	4.33	3.70	1.61
17:57 +9’	4.50▲	3.50▼	1.65▲
22:52 +2’	4.33▼	3.60▲	1.61▼
04:12 +3’	5.50▲	3.90▲	1.48▼
08:21 +6’	6.50▲	3.90	1.44▼
12:58 +7’	7.50▲	4.33▲	1.38▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:13 +2’	5.45	3.77	1.55
06:32	5.48▲	3.82▲	1.54▼
10:39	6.84▲	4.16▲	1.42▼
13:03 +2’	8.05▲	4.42▲	1.35▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Meshakhte Tkibuli 0–1–2 Dinamo Batumi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dinamo Batumi	2-1 HT 0-1	Meshakhte Tkibuli
16/03/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Meshakhte Tkibuli	0-0 HT 0-0	Dinamo Batumi
14/08/24 Georgia Cup	Meshakhte Tkibuli	1-2 HT 0-1	Dinamo Batumi

Standings · Georgia Erovnuli Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Rustavi	21	11	5	5	26	18	38
2	Dinamo Tbilisi	21	9	7	5	33	25	34
3	FC Iberia 1999	20	10	4	6	30	22	34
4	Dinamo Batumi	22	9	7	6	35	32	34
5	Torpedo Kutaisi	21	8	6	7	34	23	30
6	Dila Gori	20	9	2	9	24	20	29
7	Samgurali	21	8	4	9	27	37	28
8	FC Gagra	21	5	9	7	21	27	24
9	FC Spaeri	21	5	8	8	27	28	23
10	Meshakhte Tkibuli	22	1	8	13	15	40	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Meshakhte Tkibuli	Dinamo Batumi
Dila Gori	1-3 L	3-2 W
Samgurali	1-2 L	4-0 W
FC Iberia 1999	1-2 L	0-1 L
FC Gagra	1-1 D	2-2 D
Dinamo Tbilisi	1-6 L	1-2 L
Torpedo Kutaisi	1-4 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Dinamo Batumi (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Meshakhte Tkibuli

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-2	1-3	3	5	L
09/08	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
01/08	Samgurali Georgia Cup	0-0	0-0	0	9	D
25/07	FC Gonio Georgia Cup	1-1	2-1	0	1	W
23/06	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-2	2	7	L
18/06	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
13/06	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
30/05	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-3	1-6	6	6	L
25/05	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
20/05	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-4	3	4	L

Dinamo Batumi

LWWLLLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	3-0	4-0	5	4	W
08/08	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-0	2-2	6	1	D
02/08	FC Telavi Georgia Cup	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
25/07	FC Orbi Georgia Cup	2-0	4-1	3	4	W
16/07	Amedspor Club Friendly List	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
15/07	Caykur Rizespor Club Friendly List	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
23/06	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	1-2	5	2	L
17/06	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-1	3-2	3	3	W
12/06	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-1	3-2	4	2	W
29/05	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	0-1	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Dinamo Batumi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Dinamo Batumi win (66%). Probabilities: Meshakhte Tkibuli 12%, draw 22%, Dinamo Batumi 66%.

How many goals are expected in Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Dinamo Batumi?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Meshakhte Tkibuli 0.73 · Dinamo Batumi 2), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Dinamo Batumi?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.