Football · Georgia Erovnuli Liga · 31/08, 17:00

Prediction: Torpedo Kutaisi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli

Team pages: Torpedo Kutaisi · Meshakhte Tkibuli

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.31Total

Torpedo Kutaisi2.4

Meshakhte Tkibuli0.91

1X2

70% 17% 12%

Torpedo Kutaisi Draw Meshakhte Tkibuli

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Torpedo Kutaisi 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLDLWD

Meshakhte Tkibuli 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDLLLL

Head-to-head

Torpedo Kutaisi 2–0 Meshakhte Tkibuli (2 last)

Meshakhte Tkibuli1-4Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi3-0Meshakhte Tkibuli

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Torpedo Kutaisi 1520 · Meshakhte Tkibuli 1403

	Torpedo Kutaisi	Draw	Meshakhte Tkibuli
Our model	70%	19%	12%
Market	71%	16%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torpedo Kutaisi (rating 1520 vs 1403).
H2H favours Torpedo Kutaisi: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Torpedo Kutaisi	Meshakhte Tkibuli
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.5	0.8 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.6	1.8 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.27

X5.50

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.95

2 (+1.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.02

Under 3.251.77

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.27▲	Bet365 1.27
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	7.50 → 7.00▼	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
23:22 +48’	1.25	5.50	7.50
01:08 +1’	1.27▲	5.50	7.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Torpedo Kutaisi 2–0–0 Meshakhte Tkibuli

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/05/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Meshakhte Tkibuli	1-4 HT 0-0	Torpedo Kutaisi
03/04/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Torpedo Kutaisi	3-0 HT 1-0	Meshakhte Tkibuli

Standings · Georgia Erovnuli Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Rustavi	23	12	6	5	30	19	42
2	Dinamo Batumi	23	10	7	6	38	32	37
3	Dinamo Tbilisi	21	9	7	5	33	25	34
4	FC Iberia 1999	20	10	4	6	30	22	34
5	Samgurali	23	9	5	9	32	41	32
6	Torpedo Kutaisi	22	8	7	7	36	25	31
7	Dila Gori	21	9	3	9	26	22	30
8	FC Gagra	22	5	9	8	21	30	24
9	FC Spaeri	23	5	8	10	30	35	23
10	Meshakhte Tkibuli	22	1	8	13	15	40	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Torpedo Kutaisi	Meshakhte Tkibuli
Dila Gori	2-2 D	1-3 L
FC Iberia 1999	4-3 W	1-2 L
FC Rustavi	0-1 L	0-1 L
FC Spaeri	0-0 D	1-2 L
Dinamo Batumi	2-3 L	0-1 L
Samgurali	1-2 L	1-2 L
FC Gagra	1-2 L	1-1 D
Dinamo Tbilisi	1-0 W	1-6 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	0 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Torpedo Kutaisi (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Torpedo Kutaisi

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	2-2	4	4	D
15/08	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	3-1	4-3	10	4	W
07/08	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
22/06	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
17/06	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-2	2-3	6	3	L
13/06	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	1-2	5	8	L
28/05	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-2	1-2	10	4	L
24/05	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-0	1	0	W
20/05	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	4-1	5	4	W
15/05	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	2-1	5	4	W

Meshakhte Tkibuli

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	0-1	1	3	L
16/08	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-2	1-3	3	5	L
09/08	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
23/06	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-2	2	5	L
18/06	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
13/06	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
30/05	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-3	1-6	6	6	L
25/05	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
20/05	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-4	3	4	L
16/05	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	1-2	2	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Torpedo Kutaisi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Torpedo Kutaisi win (70%). Probabilities: Torpedo Kutaisi 70%, draw 17%, Meshakhte Tkibuli 12%.

How many goals are expected in Torpedo Kutaisi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli?

The model expects 3.31 goals (Torpedo Kutaisi 2.4 · Meshakhte Tkibuli 0.91), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Torpedo Kutaisi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.