Football · Georgia First League · 22/08, 15:00

Prediction: Odishi 1919 Zugdidi vs FC Sioni Bolnisi

Team pages: Odishi 1919 Zugdidi · FC Sioni Bolnisi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.59Total

Odishi 1919 Zugdidi1.42

FC Sioni Bolnisi1.17

1X2

42% 28% 30%

Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Draw FC Sioni Bolnisi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLDWWDLWWD

FC Sioni Bolnisi 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLDDWLWLL

Head-to-head

Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 0–1–1 FC Sioni Bolnisi (2 last)

FC Sioni Bolnisi1-0Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
Odishi 1919 Zugdidi2-2FC Sioni Bolnisi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 1532 · FC Sioni Bolnisi 1481

	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	Draw	FC Sioni Bolnisi
Our model	42%	29%	30%
Market	42%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Odishi 1919 Zugdidi (rating 1532 vs 1481).
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	FC Sioni Bolnisi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 2.9	2.2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.1 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.20

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.31 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
20:36 +8’	2.15	3.20	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:44 +3’	2.07	2.95	3.31

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 0–1–1 FC Sioni Bolnisi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Georgia First League	FC Sioni Bolnisi	1-0 HT 1-0	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
15/03/26 Georgia First League	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	2-2 HT 1-1	FC Sioni Bolnisi

Standings · Georgia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Gareji	21	11	7	3	24	14	40
2	FC Telavi	21	10	7	4	23	16	37
3	SFC Shturmi	21	8	9	4	20	15	33
4	Merani Martvili	21	8	7	6	24	22	31
5	Aragvi Dusheti	21	8	4	9	22	27	28
6	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	21	7	7	7	25	27	28
7	FC Sioni Bolnisi	21	6	7	8	26	25	25
8	FC Samtredia	21	6	4	11	30	38	22
9	FC Gori	21	4	7	10	17	26	19
10	Kolkheti Poti	21	4	7	10	26	27	19

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	FC Sioni Bolnisi
Merani Martvili	0-0 D	2-0 W
Kolkheti Poti	2-1 W	0-0 D
FC Gareji	2-1 W	1-1 D
FC Telavi	0-1 L	1-2 L
Aragvi Dusheti	1-1 D	2-3 L
SFC Shturmi	2-1 W	0-1 L
FC Gori	3-1 W	1-4 L
FC Samtredia	1-1 D	3-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Odishi 1919 Zugdidi (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

LLDWWDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
08/08	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
22/06	FC Gareji Georgia First League	2-1	2-1	4	4	W
17/06	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-1	0-1	3	8	L
13/06	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
30/05	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	2-1	2-1	0	8	W
24/05	FC Gori Georgia First League	1-0	3-1	5	8	W
20/05	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
16/05	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	0-1	0-1	1	5	L
10/05	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-0	1-2	–	–	L

FC Sioni Bolnisi

WWLDDWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
08/08	FC Gori Georgia First League	0-1	1-4	4	2	L
22/06	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	1-1	3-2	3	4	W
17/06	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	2-2	2-3	4	6	L
13/06	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
30/05	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	10	2	D
24/05	FC Gareji Georgia First League	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
20/05	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-1	1-2	2	5	L
16/05	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
10/05	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	2-0	2-0	8	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Odishi 1919 Zugdidi vs FC Sioni Bolnisi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Odishi 1919 Zugdidi win (42%). Probabilities: Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 42%, draw 28%, FC Sioni Bolnisi 30%.

How many goals are expected in Odishi 1919 Zugdidi vs FC Sioni Bolnisi?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 1.42 · FC Sioni Bolnisi 1.17), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Odishi 1919 Zugdidi vs FC Sioni Bolnisi?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.