Football · Georgia First League · 22/08, 18:00
Prediction: FC Telavi vs Merani Martvili
Team pages: FC Telavi · Merani Martvili
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.89Total
FC Telavi1.17
Merani Martvili0.72
1X2
FC Telavi
Draw
Merani Martvili
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
FC Telavi
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Merani Martvili
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Telavi
1–3–2
Merani Martvili
(6 last)
- Merani Martvili0-0FC Telavi
- FC Telavi1-1Merani Martvili
- FC Telavi0-0Merani Martvili
- Merani Martvili2-0FC Telavi
- FC Telavi2-1Merani Martvili
- Merani Martvili1-0FC Telavi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Telavi 1575 · Merani Martvili 1466
| FC Telavi | Draw | Merani Martvili | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 33% | 21% |
| Market | 48% | 28% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Telavi (rating 1575 vs 1466).
- H2H favours Merani Martvili: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Telavi | Merani Martvili | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0 | 0 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 2.9 | 2.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Telavi 1–3–2 Merani Martvili
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Georgia First League | Merani Martvili | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Telavi |
| 15/03/26 Georgia First League | FC Telavi | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Merani Martvili |
| 26/10/18 Georgia First League | FC Telavi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Merani Martvili |
| 09/08/18 Georgia First League | Merani Martvili | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FC Telavi |
| 12/05/18 Georgia First League | FC Telavi | 2-1 | Merani Martvili |
| 09/03/18 Georgia First League | Merani Martvili | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Telavi |
Standings · Georgia First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Gareji | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 40 |
| 2 | FC Telavi | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 37 |
| 3 | SFC Shturmi | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 33 |
| 4 | Merani Martvili | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 31 |
| 5 | Aragvi Dusheti | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 27 | 28 |
| 6 | Odishi 1919 Zugdidi | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | 28 |
| 7 | FC Sioni Bolnisi | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 25 | 25 |
| 8 | FC Samtredia | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 38 | 22 |
| 9 | FC Gori | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 19 |
| 10 | Kolkheti Poti | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 27 | 19 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Telavi | Merani Martvili |
|---|---|---|
| Kolkheti Poti | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| FC Gareji | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Aragvi Dusheti | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Odishi 1919 Zugdidi | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| SFC Shturmi | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Gori | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| FC Samtredia | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| FC Sioni Bolnisi | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Telavi (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Telavi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | FC Gareji Georgia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 22/06 | Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/06 | Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 13/06 | SFC Shturmi Georgia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | FC Gori Georgia First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | FC Samtredia Georgia First League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 20/05 | FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Merani Martvili Georgia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
Merani Martvili
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 08/08 | SFC Shturmi Georgia First League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/06 | FC Gori Georgia First League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 17/06 | FC Samtredia Georgia First League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 29/05 | Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 20/05 | FC Gareji Georgia First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Telavi Georgia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Telavi vs Merani Martvili?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Telavi win (47%). Probabilities: FC Telavi 47%, draw 30%, Merani Martvili 23%.
How many goals are expected in FC Telavi vs Merani Martvili?
The model expects 1.89 goals (FC Telavi 1.17 · Merani Martvili 0.72), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Telavi vs Merani Martvili?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.