Football · Georgia First League · 06/09, 15:00

Prediction: Kolkheti Poti vs Merani Martvili

Team pages: Kolkheti Poti · Merani Martvili

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

Kolkheti Poti1.39

Merani Martvili1.08

1X2

43% 29% 28%

Kolkheti Poti Draw Merani Martvili

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Kolkheti Poti 0-6-4 (W-D-L)

LLDDDDLDLD

Merani Martvili 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWDLWLLDLL

Head-to-head

Kolkheti Poti 5–1 Merani Martvili (6 last)

Merani Martvili1-0Kolkheti Poti
Kolkheti Poti5-1Merani Martvili
Kolkheti Poti2-0Merani Martvili
Merani Martvili0-4Kolkheti Poti
Kolkheti Poti4-0Merani Martvili
Kolkheti Poti3-0Merani Martvili

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kolkheti Poti 1468 · Merani Martvili 1427

	Kolkheti Poti	Draw	Merani Martvili
Our model	43%	29%	28%
Market	43%	29%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kolkheti Poti (rating 1468 vs 1427).
H2H favours Kolkheti Poti: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kolkheti Poti	Merani Martvili
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.3	0.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 4.6	2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.10

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:39 +17’	2.10	3.10	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kolkheti Poti 5–0–1 Merani Martvili

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Georgia First League	Merani Martvili	1-0 HT 0-0	Kolkheti Poti
07/04/26 Georgia First League	Kolkheti Poti	5-1 HT 3-0	Merani Martvili
11/11/23 Georgia First League	Kolkheti Poti	2-0 HT 0-0	Merani Martvili
29/08/23 Georgia First League	Merani Martvili	0-4 HT 0-2	Kolkheti Poti
06/07/23 Europe Friendlies	Kolkheti Poti	4-0 HT 1-0	Merani Martvili
23/05/23 Georgia First League	Kolkheti Poti	3-0 HT 1-0	Merani Martvili

Standings · Georgia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Gareji	23	13	7	3	29	17	46
2	FC Telavi	23	11	7	5	25	18	40
3	SFC Shturmi	23	8	9	6	21	19	33
4	Aragvi Dusheti	23	9	5	9	24	28	32
5	FC Sioni Bolnisi	23	8	7	8	29	26	31
6	Merani Martvili	23	8	7	8	25	25	31
7	FC Samtredia	23	8	4	11	34	38	28
8	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	23	7	7	9	25	31	28
9	FC Gori	23	5	7	11	20	28	22
10	Kolkheti Poti	23	4	8	11	29	31	20

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kolkheti Poti	Merani Martvili
Aragvi Dusheti	1-1 D	1-1 D
FC Gareji	2-3 L	1-2 L
FC Telavi	1-1 D	0-1 L
Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	1-2 L	0-0 D
SFC Shturmi	0-0 D	1-2 L
FC Gori	1-1 D	0-2 L
FC Samtredia	2-2 D	2-1 W
FC Sioni Bolnisi	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 6 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Kolkheti Poti (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kolkheti Poti

LLDDDDLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
22/08	FC Gareji Georgia First League	1-1	2-3	7	5	L
15/08	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-1	1-1	11	4	D
08/08	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-1	1-2	7	5	L
22/06	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
17/06	FC Gori Georgia First League	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
13/06	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	1-0	2-2	5	6	D
30/05	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
24/05	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
20/05	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	1-0	1-2	2	3	L

Merani Martvili

LWDLWLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	FC Gareji Georgia First League	0-1	1-2	9	5	L
22/08	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
15/08	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
08/08	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
22/06	FC Gori Georgia First League	0-0	0-2	8	3	L
17/06	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-1	2-1	3	6	W
13/06	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
29/05	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-0	1-1	6	1	D
24/05	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
20/05	FC Gareji Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kolkheti Poti vs Merani Martvili?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kolkheti Poti win (43%). Probabilities: Kolkheti Poti 43%, draw 29%, Merani Martvili 28%.

How many goals are expected in Kolkheti Poti vs Merani Martvili?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Kolkheti Poti 1.39 · Merani Martvili 1.08), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kolkheti Poti vs Merani Martvili?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.