Football · Georgia First League · 12/09, 18:00

Prediction: SFC Shturmi vs Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

Team pages: SFC Shturmi · Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

SFC Shturmi1.6

Odishi 1919 Zugdidi0.89

1X2

53% 26% 20%

SFC Shturmi Draw Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

SFC Shturmi 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDDWWLLW

Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWDLLL

Head-to-head

SFC Shturmi 2–1 Odishi 1919 Zugdidi (3 last)

Odishi 1919 Zugdidi2-1SFC Shturmi
SFC Shturmi1-0Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
SFC Shturmi1-0Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SFC Shturmi 1512 · Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 1493

	SFC Shturmi	Draw	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
Our model	53%	27%	20%
Market	54%	26%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SFC Shturmi: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SFC Shturmi	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	1.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4	1.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	5.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.50

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
08:16 +49’	1.67	3.50	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SFC Shturmi 2–0–1 Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Georgia First League	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	2-1 HT 2-1	SFC Shturmi
18/04/26 Georgia First League	SFC Shturmi	1-0 HT 0-0	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
10/04/25 Georgia Liga 3	SFC Shturmi	1-0 HT 1-0	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

Standings · Georgia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Gareji	24	13	8	3	32	20	47
2	FC Telavi	24	11	7	6	25	21	40
3	SFC Shturmi	24	9	9	6	25	22	36
4	Aragvi Dusheti	24	9	5	10	27	32	32
5	FC Sioni Bolnisi	24	8	8	8	32	29	32
6	Merani Martvili	24	8	7	9	25	27	31
7	FC Samtredia	24	9	4	11	37	38	31
8	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	24	7	7	10	27	34	28
9	FC Gori	24	6	7	11	23	30	25
10	Kolkheti Poti	24	5	8	11	31	31	23

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SFC Shturmi	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
Aragvi Dusheti	4-3 W	1-1 D
FC Gori	1-3 L	2-3 L
FC Samtredia	0-1 L	0-3 L
FC Sioni Bolnisi	1-0 W	0-1 L
Merani Martvili	2-1 W	0-0 D
Kolkheti Poti	0-0 D	2-1 W
FC Gareji	0-0 D	2-1 W
FC Telavi	0-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SFC Shturmi

WLLDDWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	2-0	4-3	4	4	W
29/08	FC Gori Georgia First League	0-0	1-3	6	3	L
22/08	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-1	0-1	3	7	L
15/08	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	0-0	1-0	0	4	W
08/08	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
22/06	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
17/06	FC Gareji Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
13/06	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
30/05	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-2	1-2	8	8	L
24/05	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-0	2-0	3	4	W

Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

WWDLWWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	FC Gori Georgia First League	1-1	2-3	9	3	L
28/08	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
22/08	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
15/08	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
08/08	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
22/06	FC Gareji Georgia First League	2-1	2-1	4	4	W
17/06	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-1	0-1	3	8	L
13/06	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
30/05	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	2-1	2-1	0	8	W
24/05	FC Gori Georgia First League	1-0	3-1	5	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SFC Shturmi vs Odishi 1919 Zugdidi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SFC Shturmi win (53%). Probabilities: SFC Shturmi 53%, draw 26%, Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 20%.

How many goals are expected in SFC Shturmi vs Odishi 1919 Zugdidi?

The model expects 2.49 goals (SFC Shturmi 1.6 · Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 0.89), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SFC Shturmi vs Odishi 1919 Zugdidi?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.