Football · Georgia First League · 12/09, 17:00

Prediction: FC Sioni Bolnisi vs Kolkheti Poti

Team pages: FC Sioni Bolnisi · Kolkheti Poti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.29Total

FC Sioni Bolnisi1.28

Kolkheti Poti1

1X2

42% 29% 28%

FC Sioni Bolnisi Draw Kolkheti Poti

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Sioni Bolnisi 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDWLWLLWWD

Kolkheti Poti 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

LDDDDLDLDW

Head-to-head

FC Sioni Bolnisi 1–2–3 Kolkheti Poti (6 last)

Kolkheti Poti0-0FC Sioni Bolnisi
FC Sioni Bolnisi0-1Kolkheti Poti
Kolkheti Poti1-0FC Sioni Bolnisi
FC Sioni Bolnisi1-1Kolkheti Poti
Kolkheti Poti3-1FC Sioni Bolnisi
FC Sioni Bolnisi3-2Kolkheti Poti

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Sioni Bolnisi 1496 · Kolkheti Poti 1488

	FC Sioni Bolnisi	Draw	Kolkheti Poti
Our model	42%	31%	28%
Market	43%	28%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kolkheti Poti: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Sioni Bolnisi	Kolkheti Poti
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.6	1.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.20

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
08:57 +3’	2.10	3.20	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Sioni Bolnisi 1–2–3 Kolkheti Poti

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Georgia First League	Kolkheti Poti	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Sioni Bolnisi
18/04/26 Georgia First League	FC Sioni Bolnisi	0-1 HT 0-1	Kolkheti Poti
29/10/23 Georgia First League	Kolkheti Poti	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Sioni Bolnisi
18/08/23 Georgia First League	FC Sioni Bolnisi	1-1 HT 1-0	Kolkheti Poti
15/05/23 Georgia First League	Kolkheti Poti	3-1 HT 1-0	FC Sioni Bolnisi
19/03/23 Georgia First League	FC Sioni Bolnisi	3-2 HT 3-0	Kolkheti Poti

Standings · Georgia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Gareji	24	13	8	3	32	20	47
2	FC Telavi	24	11	7	6	25	21	40
3	SFC Shturmi	24	9	9	6	25	22	36
4	Aragvi Dusheti	24	9	5	10	27	32	32
5	FC Sioni Bolnisi	24	8	8	8	32	29	32
6	Merani Martvili	24	8	7	9	25	27	31
7	FC Samtredia	24	9	4	11	37	38	31
8	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	24	7	7	10	27	34	28
9	FC Gori	24	6	7	11	23	30	25
10	Kolkheti Poti	24	5	8	11	31	31	23

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Sioni Bolnisi	Kolkheti Poti
FC Gareji	3-3 D	2-3 L
FC Telavi	2-1 W	1-1 D
Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	1-0 W	1-2 L
SFC Shturmi	0-1 L	0-0 D
FC Gori	1-4 L	1-1 D
FC Samtredia	3-2 W	2-2 D
Aragvi Dusheti	2-3 L	1-1 D
Merani Martvili	2-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 5 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Sioni Bolnisi (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Sioni Bolnisi

DDWLWLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	FC Gareji Georgia First League	1-1	3-3	5	6	D
29/08	FC Telavi Georgia First League	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
22/08	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-0	1-0	0	6	W
15/08	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
08/08	FC Gori Georgia First League	0-1	1-4	4	2	L
22/06	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	1-1	3-2	3	4	W
17/06	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	2-2	2-3	4	6	L
13/06	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
30/05	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	10	2	D
24/05	FC Gareji Georgia First League	1-0	1-1	5	5	D

Kolkheti Poti

LDDDDLDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
30/08	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
22/08	FC Gareji Georgia First League	1-1	2-3	7	5	L
15/08	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-1	1-1	11	4	D
08/08	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-1	1-2	7	5	L
22/06	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
17/06	FC Gori Georgia First League	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
13/06	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	1-0	2-2	5	6	D
30/05	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
24/05	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Sioni Bolnisi vs Kolkheti Poti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Sioni Bolnisi win (42%). Probabilities: FC Sioni Bolnisi 42%, draw 29%, Kolkheti Poti 28%.

How many goals are expected in FC Sioni Bolnisi vs Kolkheti Poti?

The model expects 2.29 goals (FC Sioni Bolnisi 1.28 · Kolkheti Poti 1), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Sioni Bolnisi vs Kolkheti Poti?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.