Football · Georgia First League · 16/09, 15:00
Prediction: Kolkheti Poti vs FC Samtredia
Team pages: Kolkheti Poti · FC Samtredia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Kolkheti Poti1.51
FC Samtredia1.36
1X2
Kolkheti Poti
Draw
FC Samtredia
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Kolkheti Poti
1-7-2 (W-D-L)
FC Samtredia
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kolkheti Poti
2–3–1
FC Samtredia
(6 last)
- FC Samtredia2-2Kolkheti Poti
- Kolkheti Poti1-3FC Samtredia
- Kolkheti Poti0-0FC Samtredia
- FC Samtredia1-3Kolkheti Poti
- Kolkheti Poti2-0FC Samtredia
- FC Samtredia1-1Kolkheti Poti
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kolkheti Poti 1475 · FC Samtredia 1594
| Kolkheti Poti | Draw | FC Samtredia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Market | 40% | 27% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Samtredia (rating 1475 vs 1594).
- H2H favours Kolkheti Poti: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kolkheti Poti | FC Samtredia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 2.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 5.6 | 2.3 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 5.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kolkheti Poti 2–3–1 FC Samtredia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Georgia First League | FC Samtredia | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Kolkheti Poti |
| 22/04/26 Georgia First League | Kolkheti Poti | 1-3 HT 1-0 | FC Samtredia |
| 19/10/24 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | Kolkheti Poti | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Samtredia |
| 10/08/24 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | FC Samtredia | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Kolkheti Poti |
| 26/04/24 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | Kolkheti Poti | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FC Samtredia |
| 06/03/24 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | FC Samtredia | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Kolkheti Poti |
Standings · Georgia First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Gareji | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 33 | 26 | 47 |
| 2 | FC Telavi | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 41 |
| 3 | SFC Shturmi | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 22 | 39 |
| 4 | Merani Martvili | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 34 |
| 5 | FC Samtredia | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 43 | 39 | 34 |
| 6 | FC Sioni Bolnisi | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 30 | 33 |
| 7 | Aragvi Dusheti | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 35 | 32 |
| 8 | Odishi 1919 Zugdidi | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 36 | 28 |
| 9 | FC Gori | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 26 |
| 10 | Kolkheti Poti | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 32 | 24 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kolkheti Poti | FC Samtredia |
|---|---|---|
| FC Sioni Bolnisi | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Merani Martvili | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Aragvi Dusheti | 1-1 D | 4-2 W |
| FC Gareji | 2-3 L | 6-1 W |
| FC Telavi | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Odishi 1919 Zugdidi | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| SFC Shturmi | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| FC Gori | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 5 D 2 L | 6 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Samtredia (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kolkheti Poti
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Merani Martvili Georgia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | FC Gareji Georgia First League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | FC Telavi Georgia First League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 22/06 | SFC Shturmi Georgia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/06 | FC Gori Georgia First League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | FC Samtredia Georgia First League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
FC Samtredia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | FC Gareji Georgia First League |
3-1 | 6-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 07/09 | FC Telavi Georgia First League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 28/08 | Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | SFC Shturmi Georgia First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | FC Gori Georgia First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 22/06 | FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 17/06 | Merani Martvili Georgia First League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | FC Gareji Georgia First League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kolkheti Poti vs FC Samtredia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kolkheti Poti win (40%). Probabilities: Kolkheti Poti 40%, draw 27%, FC Samtredia 33%.
How many goals are expected in Kolkheti Poti vs FC Samtredia?
The model expects 2.87 goals (Kolkheti Poti 1.51 · FC Samtredia 1.36), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Kolkheti Poti vs FC Samtredia?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.