Football · USA NWSL Women · 13/09, 19:00

Prediction: Washington Spirit (W) vs Boston Legacy FC (W)

Team pages: Washington Spirit (W) · Boston Legacy FC (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Washington Spirit (W)1.68
Boston Legacy FC (W)1.13
1X2
49% 25% 25%
Washington Spirit (W) Draw Boston Legacy FC (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Washington Spirit (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LWWWLLDLWW
Boston Legacy FC (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WWLWDLLLLW
Head-to-head
Washington Spirit (W) 1–0 Boston Legacy FC (W) (1 last)
  • Boston Legacy FC (W)1-2Washington Spirit (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Washington Spirit (W) 1513 · Boston Legacy FC (W) 1479
Washington Spirit (W)DrawBoston Legacy FC (W)
Our model49%26%25%
Market50%24%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Washington Spirit (W)Boston Legacy FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 11.5 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.8 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 51.4 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.12.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Washington Spirit (W) 100 Boston Legacy FC (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/07/26
USA NWSL Women
Boston Legacy FC (W)1-2
HT 0-2
Washington Spirit (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 241464 291848
2 Washington Spirit (W) 231346 332043
3 North Carolina Courage (W) 231238 463339
4 Utah Royals (W) 231238 403039
5 San Diego Wave (W) 231238 322639
6 Kansas City Current (W) 241158 393438
7 Portland Thorns (W) 231157 373238
8 Reign FC (W) 221048 272634
9 Angel City FC (W) 23968 372733
10 Denver Summit FC (W) 23878 373031
11 Orlando Pride (W) 249312 313630
12 Houston Dash (W) 237511 293326
13 Racing Louisville FC (W) 247215 354723
14 Boston Legacy FC (W) 236512 284023
15 Bay FC (W) 226412 223022
16 Chicago Stars (W) 235117 135316

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentWashington Spirit (W)Boston Legacy FC (W)
Portland Thorns (W) 2-1 W 3-4 L
Orlando Pride (W) 0-1 L 1-0 W
Angel City FC (W) 1-1 D 2-5 L
North Carolina Courage (W) 3-4 L 1-2 L
Utah Royals (W) 1-0 W 2-1 W
Denver Summit FC (W) 1-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Washington Spirit (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Washington Spirit (W)

LWWWLLDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Portland Thorns (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-1 2-1 55 W
30/08 Bay FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-0 1-0 54 W
23/08 Orlando Pride (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-1 0-1 112 L
17/08 Angel City FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 1-1 51 D
09/08 North Carolina Courage (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-3 3-4 74 L
02/08 San Diego Wave (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 0-1 33 L
30/07 Utah Royals (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-0 1-0 51 W
27/07 Denver Summit FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 1-0 33 W
20/07 Boston Legacy FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
2-0 2-1 23 W
16/07 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-1 0-1 44 L

Boston Legacy FC (W)

WWLWDLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Utah Royals (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-1 2-1 32 W
01/09 Angel City FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-3 2-5 50 L
23/08 North Carolina Courage (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-1 1-2 22 L
16/08 Racing Louisville FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-1 1-4 20 L
09/08 Portland Thorns (W)
USA NWSL Women
2-4 3-4 66 L
03/08 Denver Summit FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-0 1-1 31 D
25/07 Kansas City Current (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-0 1-0 43 W
20/07 Washington Spirit (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-2 1-2 13 L
16/07 Orlando Pride (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-0 1-0 25 W
11/07 Chicago Stars (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-0 2-0 41 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Washington Spirit (W) vs Boston Legacy FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Washington Spirit (W) win (49%). Probabilities: Washington Spirit (W) 49%, draw 25%, Boston Legacy FC (W) 25%.

How many goals are expected in Washington Spirit (W) vs Boston Legacy FC (W)?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Washington Spirit (W) 1.68 · Boston Legacy FC (W) 1.13), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Washington Spirit (W) vs Boston Legacy FC (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.