Football · USA NWSL Women · 20/09, 20:00

Prediction: Boston Legacy FC (W) vs Houston Dash (W)

Team pages: Boston Legacy FC (W) · Houston Dash (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Boston Legacy FC (W)1.84
Houston Dash (W)1.01
1X2
56% 23% 20%
Boston Legacy FC (W) Draw Houston Dash (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Boston Legacy FC (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
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Houston Dash (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Boston Legacy FC (W) 0–1 Houston Dash (W) (1 last)
  • Houston Dash (W)3-0Boston Legacy FC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Boston Legacy FC (W) 1486 · Houston Dash (W) 1479
Boston Legacy FC (W)DrawHouston Dash (W)
Our model56%25%19%
Market57%22%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Boston Legacy FC (W)Houston Dash (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.91.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 1.20.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 3.31.4 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 0.12.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Boston Legacy FC (W) 001 Houston Dash (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/03/26
USA NWSL Women
Houston Dash (W)3-0
HT 1-0
Boston Legacy FC (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 241464 291848
2 San Diego Wave (W) 251438 362745
3 Washington Spirit (W) 241347 332343
4 Utah Royals (W) 241338 413042
5 Portland Thorns (W) 251267 423442
6 North Carolina Courage (W) 241239 473539
7 Kansas City Current (W) 251159 393638
8 Reign FC (W) 241149 302937
9 Angel City FC (W) 241068 402836
10 Denver Summit FC (W) 24888 393232
11 Orlando Pride (W) 259313 324030
12 Houston Dash (W) 247512 293426
13 Boston Legacy FC (W) 247512 314026
14 Bay FC (W) 246513 243423
15 Racing Louisville FC (W) 247215 354723
16 Chicago Stars (W) 245217 145417

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBoston Legacy FC (W)Houston Dash (W)
Utah Royals (W) 2-1 W 0-1 L
North Carolina Courage (W) 1-2 L 3-2 W
Racing Louisville FC (W) 1-4 L 1-1 D
Kansas City Current (W) 1-0 W 1-1 D
Orlando Pride (W) 1-0 W 1-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Boston Legacy FC (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Boston Legacy FC (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Washington Spirit (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 3-0 55 W
05/09 Utah Royals (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-1 2-1 32 W
01/09 Angel City FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-3 2-5 50 L
23/08 North Carolina Courage (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-1 1-2 22 L
16/08 Racing Louisville FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-1 1-4 20 L
09/08 Portland Thorns (W)
USA NWSL Women
2-4 3-4 66 L
03/08 Denver Summit FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-0 1-1 31 D
25/07 Kansas City Current (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-0 1-0 43 W
20/07 Washington Spirit (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-2 1-2 13 L
16/07 Orlando Pride (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-0 1-0 25 W

Houston Dash (W)

DWLDWWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Utah Royals (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 0-1 23 L
07/09 Orlando Pride (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-2 1-3 23 L
31/08 Reign FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 0-1 04 L
24/08 Bay FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 0-1 L
20/08 Chicago Stars (W)
USA NWSL Women
3-0 5-0 32 W
17/08 North Carolina Courage (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-1 3-2 41 W
09/08 Kansas City Current (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-1 1-1 00 D
02/08 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 0-1 62 L
25/07 Bay FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 1-0 43 W
19/07 Racing Louisville FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-1 1-1 16 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boston Legacy FC (W) vs Houston Dash (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Boston Legacy FC (W) win (56%). Probabilities: Boston Legacy FC (W) 56%, draw 23%, Houston Dash (W) 20%.

How many goals are expected in Boston Legacy FC (W) vs Houston Dash (W)?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Boston Legacy FC (W) 1.84 · Houston Dash (W) 1.01), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Boston Legacy FC (W) vs Houston Dash (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.