Football · USA NWSL Women · 20/09, 00:30

Prediction: North Carolina Courage (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Team pages: North Carolina Courage (W) · NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

North Carolina Courage (W)1.78

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)1.44

1X2

45% 25% 30%

North Carolina Courage (W) Draw NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

North Carolina Courage (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWWLWL

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWDDLW

Head-to-head

North Carolina Courage (W) 2–1–3 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) (6 last)

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)0-0North Carolina Courage (W)
North Carolina Courage (W)3-2NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)3-1North Carolina Courage (W)
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)1-0North Carolina Courage (W)
North Carolina Courage (W)1-0NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
North Carolina Courage (W)0-2NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours NJ/NY Gotham FC (W): 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	North Carolina Courage (W)	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.6	1.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.6	1.8 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	2.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.94

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:33

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.68 → 2.68	Pinn 2.68
X	3.48 → 3.48	Pinn 3.48
2	2.32 → 2.32	Pinn 2.32

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:25 +68’	2.68	3.48	2.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · North Carolina Courage (W) 2–1–3 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 USA NWSL Women	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	North Carolina Courage (W)
02/11/25 USA NWSL Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	3-2 HT 2-0	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
13/04/25 USA NWSL Women	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	3-1 HT 2-0	North Carolina Courage (W)
05/05/24 USA NWSL Women	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	North Carolina Courage (W)
31/03/24 USA NWSL Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
23/10/23 USA NWSL Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	24	14	6	4	29	18	48
2	Washington Spirit (W)	24	13	4	7	33	23	43
3	Utah Royals (W)	24	13	3	8	41	30	42
4	San Diego Wave (W)	24	13	3	8	34	27	42
5	North Carolina Courage (W)	24	12	3	9	47	35	39
6	Kansas City Current (W)	24	11	5	8	39	34	38
7	Portland Thorns (W)	23	11	5	7	37	32	38
8	Reign FC (W)	23	11	4	8	29	26	37
9	Angel City FC (W)	23	9	6	8	37	27	33
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	23	8	7	8	37	30	31
11	Orlando Pride (W)	24	9	3	12	31	36	30
12	Houston Dash (W)	24	7	5	12	29	34	26
13	Boston Legacy FC (W)	24	7	5	12	31	40	26
14	Racing Louisville FC (W)	24	7	2	15	35	47	23
15	Bay FC (W)	23	6	4	13	22	32	22
16	Chicago Stars (W)	23	5	1	17	13	53	16

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	North Carolina Courage (W)	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
San Diego Wave (W)	1-2 L	1-0 W
Kansas City Current (W)	2-3 L	2-1 W
Angel City FC (W)	2-0 W	0-0 D
Houston Dash (W)	2-3 L	1-0 W
Denver Summit FC (W)	2-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

North Carolina Courage (W)

LWWWLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-2	3	1	L
06/09	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	6-0	5	3	W
30/08	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-3	2-3	4	7	L
27/08	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
23/08	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
17/08	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-3	1	1	L
09/08	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	3-0	4-3	2	4	W
06/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
01/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	3-0	5-0	2	3	W
26/07	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	1-4	5	1	L

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

WDWWWWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
06/09	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-3	2	0	L
29/08	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
24/08	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	2-1	7	1	W
08/08	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
02/08	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
30/07	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/07	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-2	8	6	D
18/07	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	3-2	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in North Carolina Courage (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a North Carolina Courage (W) win (45%). Probabilities: North Carolina Courage (W) 45%, draw 25%, NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 30%.

How many goals are expected in North Carolina Courage (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)?

The model expects 3.22 goals (North Carolina Courage (W) 1.78 · NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 1.44), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in North Carolina Courage (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.