Football · USA NWSL Women · 21/09, 01:00
Prediction: Utah Royals (W) vs Angel City FC (W)
Team pages: Utah Royals (W) · Angel City FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
Utah Royals (W)1.59
Angel City FC (W)1.38
1X2
Utah Royals (W)
Draw
Angel City FC (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Utah Royals (W)
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Angel City FC (W)
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Utah Royals (W)
1–2–2
Angel City FC (W)
(5 last)
- Angel City FC (W)0-1Utah Royals (W)
- Utah Royals (W)0-0Angel City FC (W)
- Angel City FC (W)2-0Utah Royals (W)
- Angel City FC (W)1-1Utah Royals (W)
- Utah Royals (W)1-2Angel City FC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Utah Royals (W) 1530 · Angel City FC (W) 1528
| Utah Royals (W) | Draw | Angel City FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 27% | 32% |
| Market | 42% | 25% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Angel City FC (W): 2-2-1.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Utah Royals (W) | Angel City FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.3 | 2.2 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Utah Royals (W) 1–2–2 Angel City FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 USA NWSL Women | Angel City FC (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Utah Royals (W) |
| 16/08/25 USA NWSL Women | Utah Royals (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Angel City FC (W) |
| 10/05/25 USA NWSL Women | Angel City FC (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Utah Royals (W) |
| 21/10/24 USA NWSL Women | Angel City FC (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Utah Royals (W) |
| 04/05/24 USA NWSL Women | Utah Royals (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Angel City FC (W) |
Standings · USA NWSL Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 18 | 48 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave (W) | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 27 | 45 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit (W) | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 23 | 43 |
| 4 | Utah Royals (W) | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 41 | 30 | 42 |
| 5 | Portland Thorns (W) | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 42 |
| 6 | North Carolina Courage (W) | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 47 | 35 | 39 |
| 7 | Kansas City Current (W) | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 38 |
| 8 | Reign FC (W) | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 37 |
| 9 | Angel City FC (W) | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 28 | 36 |
| 10 | Denver Summit FC (W) | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 32 | 32 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride (W) | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 40 | 30 |
| 12 | Houston Dash (W) | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 34 | 26 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy FC (W) | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 40 | 26 |
| 14 | Bay FC (W) | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 34 | 23 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville FC (W) | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 47 | 23 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars (W) | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 54 | 17 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Utah Royals (W) | Angel City FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Boston Legacy FC (W) | 1-2 L | 5-2 W |
| Denver Summit FC (W) | 1-2 L | 3-3 D |
| Washington Spirit (W) | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| North Carolina Courage (W) | 4-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Angel City FC (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Utah Royals (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 15/08 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 03/08 | Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 30/07 | Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 26/07 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 19/07 | Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Angel City FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 01/09 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
3-1 | 5-2 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 27/08 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 24/08 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/08 | Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 10/08 | Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 27/07 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Utah Royals (W) vs Angel City FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Utah Royals (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Utah Royals (W) 42%, draw 26%, Angel City FC (W) 33%.
How many goals are expected in Utah Royals (W) vs Angel City FC (W)?
The model expects 2.96 goals (Utah Royals (W) 1.59 · Angel City FC (W) 1.38), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Utah Royals (W) vs Angel City FC (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.