Football · USA NWSL Women · 20/09, 23:00
Prediction: Chicago Stars (W) vs Washington Spirit (W)
Team pages: Chicago Stars (W) · Washington Spirit (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Chicago Stars (W)1.28
Washington Spirit (W)1.49
1X2
Chicago Stars (W)
Draw
Washington Spirit (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Chicago Stars (W)
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Washington Spirit (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chicago Stars (W)
2–1–3
Washington Spirit (W)
(6 last)
- Washington Spirit (W)1-1Chicago Stars (W)
- Chicago Stars (W)2-3Washington Spirit (W)
- Washington Spirit (W)2-0Chicago Stars (W)
- Washington Spirit (W)2-3Chicago Stars (W)
- Chicago Stars (W)2-4Washington Spirit (W)
- Washington Spirit (W)0-2Chicago Stars (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Washington Spirit (W) (rating 1414 vs 1501).
- H2H favours Washington Spirit (W): 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chicago Stars (W) | Washington Spirit (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 2.7 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.1 | 1.8 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chicago Stars (W) 2–1–3 Washington Spirit (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/25 USA NWSL Women | Washington Spirit (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Chicago Stars (W) |
| 10/05/25 USA NWSL Women | Chicago Stars (W) | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Washington Spirit (W) |
| 20/10/24 USA NWSL Women | Washington Spirit (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Chicago Stars (W) |
| 01/08/24 NWSL x Liga MXF Summer Cup Women | Washington Spirit (W) | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Chicago Stars (W) |
| 02/05/24 USA NWSL Women | Chicago Stars (W) | 2-4 HT 0-2 | Washington Spirit (W) |
| 03/09/23 USA NWSL Women | Washington Spirit (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Chicago Stars (W) |
Standings · USA NWSL Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 18 | 48 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave (W) | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 27 | 45 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit (W) | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 23 | 43 |
| 4 | Utah Royals (W) | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 41 | 30 | 42 |
| 5 | Portland Thorns (W) | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 42 |
| 6 | North Carolina Courage (W) | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 47 | 35 | 39 |
| 7 | Kansas City Current (W) | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 38 |
| 8 | Reign FC (W) | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 37 |
| 9 | Angel City FC (W) | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 28 | 36 |
| 10 | Denver Summit FC (W) | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 32 | 32 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride (W) | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 40 | 30 |
| 12 | Houston Dash (W) | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 34 | 26 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy FC (W) | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 40 | 26 |
| 14 | Bay FC (W) | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 34 | 23 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville FC (W) | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 47 | 23 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars (W) | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 54 | 17 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chicago Stars (W) | Washington Spirit (W) |
|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Courage (W) | 0-6 L | 3-4 L |
| Denver Summit FC (W) | 1-6 L | 1-0 W |
| Bay FC (W) | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Orlando Pride (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Angel City FC (W) | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Boston Legacy FC (W) | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Washington Spirit (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chicago Stars (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-2 | 0-6 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-2 | 1-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 20/08 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 10/08 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 19/07 | Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
Washington Spirit (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 17/08 | Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 30/07 | Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 27/07 | Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/07 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chicago Stars (W) vs Washington Spirit (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Washington Spirit (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Chicago Stars (W) 31%, draw 28%, Washington Spirit (W) 41%.
How many goals are expected in Chicago Stars (W) vs Washington Spirit (W)?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Chicago Stars (W) 1.28 · Washington Spirit (W) 1.49), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Chicago Stars (W) vs Washington Spirit (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.