Football · Australia Queensland Premier League · 18/07, 10:00
Prediction: Brisbane Strikers vs Broadbeach United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
Brisbane Strikers1.6
Broadbeach United1.49
1X2
Brisbane Strikers
Draw
Broadbeach United
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Brisbane Strikers
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Broadbeach United
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Brisbane Strikers
0–2–3
Broadbeach United
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brisbane Strikers 1598 · Broadbeach United 1594
| Brisbane Strikers | Draw | Broadbeach United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 26% | 35% |
| Market | 41% | 24% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Broadbeach United: 3-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brisbane Strikers | Broadbeach United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 0.7 | 2.3 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.2 | 1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.5 | 3 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.4 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brisbane Strikers 0–2–3 Broadbeach United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League | Broadbeach United | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Brisbane Strikers |
| 19/07/25 Australia Queensland Premier League | Broadbeach United | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Brisbane Strikers |
| 09/07/25 Australia Queensland Premier League | Brisbane Strikers | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Broadbeach United |
| 04/08/24 Australia Queensland Premier League | Brisbane Strikers | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Broadbeach United |
| 28/04/24 Australia Queensland Premier League | Broadbeach United | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Brisbane Strikers |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadbeach United | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 47 | 16 | 46 |
| 2 | Brisbane Strikers | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 44 | 14 | 45 |
| 3 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 29 |
| 4 | Robina City | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 28 |
| 5 | Ipswich FC | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 28 |
| 6 | Caboolture FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 27 |
| 7 | Redlands United | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 25 |
| 8 | Holland Park Hawks | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 33 | 24 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 35 | 23 |
| 10 | North Star | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 12 |
| 11 | St George Willawong FC | 18 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 41 | 10 |
| 12 | Capalaba FC | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 51 | 8 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brisbane Strikers | Broadbeach United |
|---|---|---|
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Logan Lightning | 3-2 W | 4-0 W |
| Ipswich FC | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Caboolture FC | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Robina City | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| North Star | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Capalaba FC | 8-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Holland Park Hawks | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Redlands United | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| St George Willawong FC | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 9 W 1 D 0 L | 7 W 3 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brisbane Strikers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 19/06 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 06/06 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/06 | North Star Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 23/05 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
3-0 | 8-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 24/04 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
Broadbeach United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 27/06 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | North Star Australia Queensland Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brisbane Strikers vs Broadbeach United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Brisbane Strikers win (40%). Probabilities: Brisbane Strikers 40%, draw 25%, Broadbeach United 35%.
How many goals are expected in Brisbane Strikers vs Broadbeach United?
The model expects 3.08 goals (Brisbane Strikers 1.6 · Broadbeach United 1.49), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Brisbane Strikers vs Broadbeach United?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.