Football · Australia Queensland Premier League · 19/07, 06:30
Prediction: Robina City vs Redlands United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
Robina City1.76
Redlands United1.3
1X2
Robina City
Draw
Redlands United
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Robina City
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Redlands United
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Robina City
1–1–0
Redlands United
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Robina City 1563 · Redlands United 1509
| Robina City | Draw | Redlands United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 26% | 27% |
| Market | 49% | 22% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Robina City (rating 1563 vs 1509).
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Robina City | Redlands United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 2.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.1 | 1.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Robina City 1–1–0 Redlands United
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League | Redlands United | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Robina City |
| 23/01/26 Australia Queensland Pro Series | Redlands United | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Robina City |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadbeach United | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 47 | 16 | 46 |
| 2 | Brisbane Strikers | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 44 | 14 | 45 |
| 3 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 29 |
| 4 | Robina City | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 28 |
| 5 | Ipswich FC | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 28 |
| 6 | Caboolture FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 27 |
| 7 | Redlands United | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 25 |
| 8 | Holland Park Hawks | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 33 | 24 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 35 | 23 |
| 10 | North Star | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 12 |
| 11 | St George Willawong FC | 18 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 41 | 10 |
| 12 | Capalaba FC | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 51 | 8 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Robina City | Redlands United |
|---|---|---|
| St George Willawong FC | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Broadbeach United | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Capalaba FC | 5-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Logan Lightning | 1-0 W | 1-5 L |
| Holland Park Hawks | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Ipswich FC | 1-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Brisbane Strikers | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Caboolture FC | 0-1 L | 2-4 L |
| North Star | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Robina City (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Robina City
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 27/06 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 23/06 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
4-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/06 | Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | North Star Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Redlands United
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | North Star Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/06 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-3 | 1-5 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 26/06 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 08/05 | Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Robina City vs Redlands United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Robina City win (48%). Probabilities: Robina City 48%, draw 24%, Redlands United 28%.
How many goals are expected in Robina City vs Redlands United?
The model expects 3.05 goals (Robina City 1.76 · Redlands United 1.3), with a 58% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Robina City vs Redlands United?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.