Football · Australia Queensland Premier League · 12/07, 09:00
Prediction: Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane Strikers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.31Total
Sunshine Coast Wanderers1.41
Brisbane Strikers1.89
1X2
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Draw
Brisbane Strikers
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Brisbane Strikers
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
3–2–1
Brisbane Strikers
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1542 · Brisbane Strikers 1598
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers | Draw | Brisbane Strikers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 24% | 48% |
| Market | 29% | 22% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brisbane Strikers (rating 1542 vs 1598).
- H2H favours Sunshine Coast Wanderers: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers | Brisbane Strikers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.3 | 2.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.9 | 2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.3 | 5.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sunshine Coast Wanderers 3–2–1 Brisbane Strikers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League | Brisbane Strikers | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers |
| 19/09/21 Australia NPL Queensland | Brisbane Strikers | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers |
| 06/06/21 Australia NPL Queensland | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Brisbane Strikers |
| 26/04/21 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying | Brisbane Strikers | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers |
| 16/10/20 Australia NPL Queensland | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Brisbane Strikers |
| 25/07/20 Australia NPL Queensland | Brisbane Strikers | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadbeach United | 17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 45 |
| 2 | Brisbane Strikers | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 14 | 42 |
| 3 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 22 | 29 |
| 4 | Ipswich FC | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 24 | 28 |
| 5 | Caboolture FC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 30 | 26 |
| 6 | Robina City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 20 | 25 |
| 7 | Redlands United | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 31 | 24 |
| 8 | Holland Park Hawks | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 33 | 24 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 33 | 20 |
| 10 | North Star | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 12 |
| 11 | St George Willawong FC | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 39 | 10 |
| 12 | Capalaba FC | 17 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | 50 | 7 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | Brisbane Strikers |
|---|---|---|
| Caboolture FC | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Robina City | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Capalaba FC | 5-0 W | 8-0 W |
| North Star | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| St George Willawong FC | 8-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Holland Park Hawks | 2-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Broadbeach United | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Ipswich FC | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Logan Lightning | 5-2 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 2 L | 8 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Brisbane Strikers (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 27/06 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | North Star Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/06 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
3-0 | 8-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-0 | 5-2 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 11/04 | Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
Brisbane Strikers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 19/06 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 06/06 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/06 | North Star Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 23/05 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
3-0 | 8-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 24/04 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane Strikers?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Brisbane Strikers win (48%). Probabilities: Sunshine Coast Wanderers 28%, draw 23%, Brisbane Strikers 48%.
How many goals are expected in Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane Strikers?
The model expects 3.31 goals (Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1.41 · Brisbane Strikers 1.89), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane Strikers?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.