Football · Australia Queensland Premier League · 18/07, 09:30
Prediction: Ipswich FC vs North Star
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.35Total
Ipswich FC2.12
North Star1.24
1X2
Ipswich FC
Draw
North Star
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ipswich FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
North Star
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ipswich FC
1–0
North Star
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ipswich FC 1504 · North Star 1424
| Ipswich FC | Draw | North Star | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 23% | 21% |
| Market | 57% | 21% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ipswich FC (rating 1504 vs 1424).
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ipswich FC | North Star | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2 | 1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5 | 2.6 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ipswich FC 1–0–0 North Star
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League | North Star | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Ipswich FC |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadbeach United | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 47 | 16 | 46 |
| 2 | Brisbane Strikers | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 44 | 14 | 45 |
| 3 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 29 |
| 4 | Robina City | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 28 |
| 5 | Ipswich FC | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 28 |
| 6 | Caboolture FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 27 |
| 7 | Redlands United | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 25 |
| 8 | Holland Park Hawks | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 33 | 24 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 35 | 23 |
| 10 | North Star | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 12 |
| 11 | St George Willawong FC | 18 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 41 | 10 |
| 12 | Capalaba FC | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 51 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ipswich FC | North Star |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Holland Park Hawks | 3-3 D | 0-0 D |
| Brisbane Strikers | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Redlands United | 0-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Robina City | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Caboolture FC | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| St George Willawong FC | 4-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Broadbeach United | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Ipswich FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ipswich FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 03/07 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/06 | Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 20/06 | Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/06 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 06/05 | Virginia United Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
North Star
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/06 | Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 26/05 | Gold Coast United Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 10/05 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ipswich FC vs North Star?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ipswich FC win (57%). Probabilities: Ipswich FC 57%, draw 22%, North Star 21%.
How many goals are expected in Ipswich FC vs North Star?
The model expects 3.35 goals (Ipswich FC 2.12 · North Star 1.24), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ipswich FC vs North Star?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.