Prediction: Broadbeach United vs Caboolture FC
Expected goals: 3.58 (Broadbeach United 2.35 · Caboolture FC 1.23). The model gives 62% home, 20% draw, 19% away. Under 3.75 goals (55%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 2-1.
On recent form, Broadbeach United is 7-3-0 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Caboolture FC 6-0-4 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 4 wins for Broadbeach United and 1 for Caboolture FC, with 1 draw.
| Broadbeach United | Draw | Caboolture FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 21% | 18% |
| Market | 62% | 19% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Broadbeach United (rating 1594 vs 1510).
- H2H favours Broadbeach United: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Broadbeach United | Caboolture FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.5 | 2.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.1 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.2 | 1.9 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Broadbeach United 4–1–1 Caboolture FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League | Caboolture FC | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Broadbeach United |
| 21/06/25 Australia Queensland Premier League | Caboolture FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Broadbeach United |
| 01/04/25 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying | Caboolture FC | 2-4 HT 2-2 | Broadbeach United |
| 23/03/25 Australia Queensland Premier League | Broadbeach United | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Caboolture FC |
| 16/06/24 Australia Queensland Premier League | Broadbeach United | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Caboolture FC |
| 17/03/24 Australia Queensland Premier League | Caboolture FC | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Broadbeach United |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadbeach United | 17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 45 |
| 2 | Brisbane Strikers | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 14 | 42 |
| 3 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 22 | 29 |
| 4 | Ipswich FC | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 24 | 28 |
| 5 | Caboolture FC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 30 | 26 |
| 6 | Robina City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 20 | 25 |
| 7 | Redlands United | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 31 | 24 |
| 8 | Holland Park Hawks | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 33 | 23 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 33 | 20 |
| 10 | North Star | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 11 |
| 11 | St George Willawong FC | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 39 | 10 |
| 12 | Capalaba FC | 17 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | 50 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Broadbeach United | Caboolture FC |
|---|---|---|
| Robina City | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Capalaba FC | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| North Star | 3-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Holland Park Hawks | 1-0 W | 5-3 W |
| Redlands United | 2-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Ipswich FC | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Logan Lightning | 4-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 2 D 0 L | 5 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Broadbeach United (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Broadbeach United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 27/06 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | North Star Australia Queensland Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Logan Lightning Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
Caboolture FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 06/06 | Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 26/05 | AC Carina Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | North Star Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-1 | 5-3 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-2 | 4-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Broadbeach United vs Caboolture FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Broadbeach United win (62%). Probabilities: Broadbeach United 62%, draw 20%, Caboolture FC 19%.
How many goals are expected in Broadbeach United vs Caboolture FC?
The model expects 3.58 goals (Broadbeach United 2.35 · Caboolture FC 1.23), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Broadbeach United vs Caboolture FC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.