Prediction: St George Willawong FC vs Robina City
Expected goals: 2.93 (St George Willawong FC 1.13 · Robina City 1.8). The model gives 24% home, 23% draw, 53% away. Under 3.25 goals (56%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves St George Willawong FC with 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses over 10 games; Robina City has piled up 5-3-2 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, St George Willawong FC won 0 and Robina City 1.
| St George Willawong FC | Draw | Robina City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 25% | 52% |
| Market | 25% | 21% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Robina City (rating 1448 vs 1547).
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| St George Willawong FC | Robina City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.5 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/44/33% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.2 | 2.4 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · St George Willawong FC 0–0–1 Robina City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League | Robina City | 4-0 HT 0-0 | St George Willawong FC |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadbeach United | 17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 45 |
| 2 | Brisbane Strikers | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 14 | 42 |
| 3 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 22 | 29 |
| 4 | Ipswich FC | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 24 | 28 |
| 5 | Caboolture FC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 30 | 26 |
| 6 | Robina City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 20 | 25 |
| 7 | Redlands United | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 31 | 24 |
| 8 | Holland Park Hawks | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 33 | 23 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 33 | 20 |
| 10 | North Star | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 11 |
| 11 | St George Willawong FC | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 39 | 10 |
| 12 | Capalaba FC | 17 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | 50 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | St George Willawong FC | Robina City |
|---|---|---|
| Capalaba FC | 2-0 W | 5-1 W |
| North Star | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Holland Park Hawks | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Broadbeach United | 1-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Redlands United | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 0-8 L | 0-0 D |
| Logan Lightning | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Ipswich FC | 0-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 5 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Robina City (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
St George Willawong FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | North Star Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 03/06 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-3 | 0-8 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 27/05 | Logan Lightning Australia Cup Qualifying |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Brisbane City Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
Robina City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 27/06 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 23/06 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
4-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/06 | Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | North Star Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in St George Willawong FC vs Robina City?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Robina City win (53%). Probabilities: St George Willawong FC 24%, draw 23%, Robina City 53%.
How many goals are expected in St George Willawong FC vs Robina City?
The model expects 2.93 goals (St George Willawong FC 1.13 · Robina City 1.8), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in St George Willawong FC vs Robina City?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.