Football · Australia Queensland Premier League · 09/08, 08:00

Prediction: Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Broadbeach United

Team pages: Sunshine Coast Wanderers · Broadbeach United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Sunshine Coast Wanderers1.33

Broadbeach United1.52

1X2

33% 25% 42%

Sunshine Coast Wanderers Draw Broadbeach United

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sunshine Coast Wanderers 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWDWLDD

Broadbeach United 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWDDLW

Head-to-head

Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1–1 Broadbeach United (2 last)

Broadbeach United3-0Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Broadbeach United0-2Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1530 · Broadbeach United 1553

	Sunshine Coast Wanderers	Draw	Broadbeach United
Our model	32%	27%	41%
Market	34%	23%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sunshine Coast Wanderers	Broadbeach United
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.1	1.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.9	2.9 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.90

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.63▼	Pinn 2.78 ★
X	3.75 → 3.90▲	Bet365 3.90
2	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.18

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:03 +7’	2.70	3.75	2.10
04:28 +3’	2.63▼	3.90▲	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:34	2.75	3.56	2.14
10:37	2.81▲	3.63▲	2.17▲
12:51	2.79▼	3.61▼	2.19▲
13:16	2.78▼	3.64▲	2.18▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1–0–1 Broadbeach United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Australia Queensland Premier League	Broadbeach United	3-0 HT 0-0	Sunshine Coast Wanderers
24/01/26 Australia Queensland Pro Series	Broadbeach United	0-2 HT 0-1	Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Brisbane Strikers	20	16	3	1	47	15	51
2	Broadbeach United	20	15	4	1	49	18	49
3	Ipswich FC	20	9	5	6	32	29	32
4	Sunshine Coast Wanderers	20	8	7	5	38	26	31
5	Robina City	20	8	5	7	34	27	29
6	Caboolture FC	20	8	4	8	37	34	28
7	Redlands United	20	7	6	7	38	35	27
8	Holland Park Hawks	20	8	3	9	35	39	27
9	Logan Lightning	20	7	3	10	35	38	24
10	North Star	20	4	3	13	19	40	15
11	St George Willawong FC	20	4	1	15	11	42	13
12	Capalaba FC	20	3	2	15	20	52	11

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sunshine Coast Wanderers	Broadbeach United
Ipswich FC	0-0 D	2-2 D
Logan Lightning	2-2 D	1-0 W
Brisbane Strikers	0-2 L	1-2 L
Caboolture FC	2-1 W	1-1 D
Robina City	0-0 D	0-0 D
Capalaba FC	5-0 W	3-1 W
North Star	1-0 W	3-1 W
St George Willawong FC	8-0 W	4-1 W
Holland Park Hawks	2-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 2 L	5 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Broadbeach United (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sunshine Coast Wanderers

LLWWWDWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
18/07	Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League	1-1	2-2	9	6	D
12/07	Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League	0-1	0-2	6	5	L
03/07	Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	2-1	5	6	W
27/06	Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
20/06	Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League	1-0	5-0	8	3	W
06/06	North Star Australia Queensland Premier League	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
03/06	St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League	3-0	8-0	8	1	W
23/05	Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League	1-1	2-3	2	1	L
09/05	Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	0-3	5	6	L

Broadbeach United

DWWWWWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	0	W
18/07	Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League	1-1	1-2	2	7	L
11/07	Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League	0-1	1-1	7	3	D
04/07	Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
27/06	Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League	2-0	3-1	6	2	W
20/06	North Star Australia Queensland Premier League	3-0	3-1	3	3	W
13/06	St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League	1-0	4-1	3	3	W
06/06	Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
23/05	Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	2-0	11	0	W
16/05	Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League	0-1	2-2	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Broadbeach United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Broadbeach United win (42%). Probabilities: Sunshine Coast Wanderers 33%, draw 25%, Broadbeach United 42%.

How many goals are expected in Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Broadbeach United?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1.33 · Broadbeach United 1.52), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Broadbeach United?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.