Football · Australia Queensland Premier League · 15/08, 08:15
Prediction: Holland Park Hawks vs Brisbane Strikers
Team pages: Holland Park Hawks · Brisbane Strikers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.85Total
Holland Park Hawks1.31
Brisbane Strikers2.55
1X2
Holland Park Hawks
Draw
Brisbane Strikers
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Holland Park Hawks
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Brisbane Strikers
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Holland Park Hawks
0–3
Brisbane Strikers
(3 last)
- Brisbane Strikers3-2Holland Park Hawks
- Brisbane Strikers2-1Holland Park Hawks
- Holland Park Hawks2-3Brisbane Strikers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Holland Park Hawks 1469 · Brisbane Strikers 1631
| Holland Park Hawks | Draw | Brisbane Strikers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 19% | 63% |
| Market | 18% | 18% | 64% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.85 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brisbane Strikers (rating 1469 vs 1631).
- H2H favours Brisbane Strikers: 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Holland Park Hawks | Brisbane Strikers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2.5 | 2.8 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 3.9 | 1.3 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.3 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Holland Park Hawks 0–0–3 Brisbane Strikers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Australia Queensland Premier League | Brisbane Strikers | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Holland Park Hawks |
| 13/06/25 Australia Queensland Premier League | Brisbane Strikers | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Holland Park Hawks |
| 10/05/25 Australia Queensland Premier League | Holland Park Hawks | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Brisbane Strikers |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brisbane Strikers | 21 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 50 | 15 | 54 |
| 2 | Broadbeach United | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 49 |
| 3 | Ipswich FC | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 35 |
| 4 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 40 | 27 | 34 |
| 5 | Caboolture FC | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 44 | 36 | 31 |
| 6 | Robina City | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 28 | 29 |
| 7 | Logan Lightning | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 39 | 39 | 27 |
| 8 | Redlands United | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 38 | 27 |
| 9 | Holland Park Hawks | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 37 | 46 | 27 |
| 10 | North Star | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 40 | 18 |
| 11 | St George Willawong FC | 21 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 46 | 13 |
| 12 | Capalaba FC | 21 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 20 | 55 | 11 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Holland Park Hawks | Brisbane Strikers |
|---|---|---|
| Caboolture FC | 2-7 L | 2-1 W |
| Robina City | 6-3 W | 3-0 W |
| Capalaba FC | 0-3 L | 8-0 W |
| North Star | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Ipswich FC | 3-3 D | 1-0 W |
| Redlands United | 1-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Logan Lightning | 3-2 W | 3-2 W |
| St George Willawong FC | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Broadbeach United | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 4 L | 9 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Brisbane Strikers (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Holland Park Hawks
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-4 | 2-7 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-3 | 6-3 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 19/07 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/07 | North Star Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/07 | Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/06 | Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/06 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 19/06 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
Brisbane Strikers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 02/08 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 19/06 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 06/06 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/06 | North Star Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 23/05 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
3-0 | 8-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Holland Park Hawks vs Brisbane Strikers?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Brisbane Strikers win (64%). Probabilities: Holland Park Hawks 18%, draw 19%, Brisbane Strikers 64%.
How many goals are expected in Holland Park Hawks vs Brisbane Strikers?
The model expects 3.85 goals (Holland Park Hawks 1.31 · Brisbane Strikers 2.55), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Holland Park Hawks vs Brisbane Strikers?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.