Football · Australia Queensland Premier League · 15/08, 08:15

Prediction: Broadbeach United vs Ipswich FC

Team pages: Broadbeach United · Ipswich FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Broadbeach United1.99

Ipswich FC1.13

1X2

57% 22% 21%

Broadbeach United Draw Ipswich FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Broadbeach United 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWDDLWL

Ipswich FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLDLWLDW

Head-to-head

Broadbeach United 1–2–2 Ipswich FC (5 last)

Ipswich FC2-2Broadbeach United
Ipswich FC2-2Broadbeach United
Broadbeach United2-0Ipswich FC
Broadbeach United1-2Ipswich FC
Ipswich FC2-1Broadbeach United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Broadbeach United 1544 · Ipswich FC 1470

	Broadbeach United	Draw	Ipswich FC
Our model	56%	24%	20%
Market	57%	21%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Broadbeach United (rating 1544 vs 1470).
H2H favours Ipswich FC: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Broadbeach United	Ipswich FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.8	1.3 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.2	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	11/44/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.1	2.4 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.20

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:33 +2’	1.57	4.20	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Broadbeach United 1–2–2 Ipswich FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Australia Queensland Premier League	Ipswich FC	2-2 HT 1-0	Broadbeach United
08/06/25 Australia Queensland Premier League	Ipswich FC	2-2 HT 2-1	Broadbeach United
01/03/25 Australia Queensland Premier League	Broadbeach United	2-0 HT 2-0	Ipswich FC
10/08/24 Australia Queensland Premier League	Broadbeach United	1-2 HT 0-0	Ipswich FC
11/05/24 Australia Queensland Premier League	Ipswich FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Broadbeach United

Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Brisbane Strikers	21	17	3	1	50	15	54
2	Broadbeach United	21	15	4	2	50	20	49
3	Ipswich FC	21	10	5	6	35	29	35
4	Sunshine Coast Wanderers	21	9	7	5	40	27	34
5	Caboolture FC	21	9	4	8	44	36	31
6	Robina City	21	8	5	8	34	28	29
7	Logan Lightning	21	8	3	10	39	39	27
8	Redlands United	21	7	6	8	38	38	27
9	Holland Park Hawks	21	8	3	10	37	46	27
10	North Star	21	5	3	13	20	40	18
11	St George Willawong FC	21	4	1	16	12	46	13
12	Capalaba FC	21	3	2	16	20	55	11

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Broadbeach United	Ipswich FC
Sunshine Coast Wanderers	1-2 L	0-0 D
Logan Lightning	1-0 W	2-3 L
Brisbane Strikers	1-2 L	0-1 L
Caboolture FC	1-1 D	2-1 W
Robina City	0-0 D	0-1 L
Capalaba FC	3-1 W	3-0 W
North Star	3-1 W	3-2 W
Holland Park Hawks	1-0 W	3-3 D
Redlands United	2-0 W	0-5 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Broadbeach United (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Broadbeach United

WWWWWDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	1-2	4	0	L
31/07	Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	0	W
18/07	Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League	1-1	1-2	2	7	L
11/07	Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League	0-1	1-1	7	3	D
04/07	Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
27/06	Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League	2-0	3-1	6	2	W
20/06	North Star Australia Queensland Premier League	3-0	3-1	3	3	W
13/06	St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League	1-0	4-1	3	3	W
06/06	Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
23/05	Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	2-0	11	0	W

Ipswich FC

WLLLDLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	3-0	8	1	W
01/08	Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
22/07	Brisbane Roar Australia Friendlies	–	0-5	0	0	L
18/07	North Star Australia Queensland Premier League	0-1	3-2	7	3	W
11/07	Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League	1-0	2-3	2	1	L
03/07	Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League	1-2	3-3	5	3	D
26/06	Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
20/06	Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League	0-1	0-5	4	5	L
09/06	Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
06/06	Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League	0-1	2-1	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Broadbeach United vs Ipswich FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Broadbeach United win (57%). Probabilities: Broadbeach United 57%, draw 22%, Ipswich FC 21%.

How many goals are expected in Broadbeach United vs Ipswich FC?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Broadbeach United 1.99 · Ipswich FC 1.13), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Broadbeach United vs Ipswich FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.