Prediction: Capalaba FC vs St George Willawong FC
Expected goals: 3.27 (Capalaba FC 1.47 · St George Willawong FC 1.8). The model gives 31% home, 24% draw, 45% away. Over 3.25 goals (50%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Capalaba FC is 1-0-9 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and St George Willawong FC 2-1-7 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Capalaba FC won 1 and St George Willawong FC 1, with 1 draw.
| Capalaba FC | Draw | St George Willawong FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| Market | 31% | 24% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Capalaba FC | St George Willawong FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 3.4 | 0.7 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.5 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/30/70% | 11/44/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.6 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.5 | 3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Capalaba FC 1–1–1 St George Willawong FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia Queensland Premier League | St George Willawong FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Capalaba FC |
| 03/08/24 Australia Queensland Premier League | Capalaba FC | 1-3 HT 0-1 | St George Willawong FC |
| 28/04/24 Australia Queensland Premier League | St George Willawong FC | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Capalaba FC |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadbeach United | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 44 |
| 2 | Brisbane Strikers | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 12 | 39 |
| 3 | Ipswich FC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 27 |
| 4 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 21 | 26 |
| 5 | Caboolture FC | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 26 |
| 6 | Robina City | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 20 | 24 |
| 7 | Holland Park Hawks | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 30 | 22 |
| 8 | Redlands United | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 21 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 20 |
| 10 | North Star | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 35 | 11 |
| 11 | St George Willawong FC | 16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 39 | 7 |
| 12 | Capalaba FC | 16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Capalaba FC | St George Willawong FC |
|---|---|---|
| Broadbeach United | 1-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 0-5 L | 0-8 L |
| Logan Lightning | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Brisbane Strikers | 0-8 L | 0-2 L |
| Ipswich FC | 2-4 L | 0-4 L |
| North Star | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Holland Park Hawks | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Redlands United | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 7 L | 1 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Capalaba FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Capalaba FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/06 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-4 | 1-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/06 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-3 | 0-8 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | North Star Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 17/04 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 10/04 | Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
St George Willawong FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | North Star Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 03/06 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-3 | 0-8 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 27/05 | Logan Lightning Australia Cup Qualifying |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Brisbane City Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/04 | Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Capalaba FC vs St George Willawong FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an St George Willawong FC win (45%). Probabilities: Capalaba FC 31%, draw 24%, St George Willawong FC 45%.
How many goals are expected in Capalaba FC vs St George Willawong FC?
The model expects 3.27 goals (Capalaba FC 1.47 · St George Willawong FC 1.8), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Capalaba FC vs St George Willawong FC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.