Prediction: Logan Lightning vs Ipswich FC
Expected goals: 3.17 (Logan Lightning 1.49 · Ipswich FC 1.68). The model gives 34% home, 24% draw, 42% away. Under 3.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Logan Lightning with 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; Ipswich FC has piled up 3-4-3 in the same span. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Logan Lightning and 2 for Ipswich FC, with 2 draws.
| Logan Lightning | Draw | Ipswich FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 26% | 41% |
| Market | 35% | 23% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Ipswich FC: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Logan Lightning | Ipswich FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/56/22% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.3 | 2.2 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Logan Lightning 1–2–2 Ipswich FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League | Ipswich FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Logan Lightning |
| 03/06/25 Australia Queensland Premier League | Logan Lightning | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ipswich FC |
| 22/02/25 Australia Queensland Premier League | Ipswich FC | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Logan Lightning |
| 02/08/24 Australia Queensland Premier League | Ipswich FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Logan Lightning |
| 27/04/24 Australia Queensland Premier League | Logan Lightning | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Ipswich FC |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadbeach United | 17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 45 |
| 2 | Brisbane Strikers | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 14 | 42 |
| 3 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 22 | 29 |
| 4 | Ipswich FC | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 24 | 28 |
| 5 | Caboolture FC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 30 | 26 |
| 6 | Robina City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 20 | 25 |
| 7 | Redlands United | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 31 | 24 |
| 8 | Holland Park Hawks | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 33 | 23 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 33 | 20 |
| 10 | North Star | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 11 |
| 11 | St George Willawong FC | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 39 | 10 |
| 12 | Capalaba FC | 17 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | 50 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Logan Lightning | Ipswich FC |
|---|---|---|
| Brisbane Strikers | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Redlands United | 5-1 W | 0-5 L |
| Caboolture FC | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Holland Park Hawks | 2-3 L | 3-3 D |
| Robina City | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Capalaba FC | 1-0 W | 4-2 W |
| St George Willawong FC | 0-0 D | 4-0 W |
| Broadbeach United | 0-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Ipswich FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Logan Lightning
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 30/06 | Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League |
3-1 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 23/06 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/06 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 27/05 | St George Willawong FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | North Star Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
Ipswich FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/06 | Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 20/06 | Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/06 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 06/05 | Virginia United Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Logan Lightning vs Ipswich FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ipswich FC win (42%). Probabilities: Logan Lightning 34%, draw 24%, Ipswich FC 42%.
How many goals are expected in Logan Lightning vs Ipswich FC?
The model expects 3.17 goals (Logan Lightning 1.49 · Ipswich FC 1.68), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Logan Lightning vs Ipswich FC?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.