Prediction: Holland Park Hawks vs North Star
Expected goals: 3.81 (Holland Park Hawks 2.27 · North Star 1.54). The model gives 53% home, 22% draw, 25% away. Over 3.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Holland Park Hawks sits at 3-2-5 (W-D-L), while North Star arrives on a 3-0-7 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Holland Park Hawks won 5 and North Star 0, with 1 draw.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Holland Park Hawks (rating 1494 vs 1439).
- H2H favours Holland Park Hawks: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Holland Park Hawks | North Star | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.3 | 1.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 0.2 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.7 | 2.5 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.3 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Holland Park Hawks 5–1–0 North Star
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League | North Star | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Holland Park Hawks |
| 13/07/24 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Holland Park Hawks | 2-2 HT 1-0 | North Star |
| 13/04/24 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | North Star | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Holland Park Hawks |
| 28/07/23 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Holland Park Hawks | 2-1 HT 0-0 | North Star |
| 29/04/23 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | North Star | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Holland Park Hawks |
| 05/06/22 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | North Star | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Holland Park Hawks |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadbeach United | 17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 45 |
| 2 | Brisbane Strikers | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 14 | 42 |
| 3 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 22 | 29 |
| 4 | Ipswich FC | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 24 | 28 |
| 5 | Caboolture FC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 30 | 26 |
| 6 | Robina City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 20 | 25 |
| 7 | Redlands United | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 31 | 24 |
| 8 | Holland Park Hawks | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 33 | 23 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 33 | 20 |
| 10 | North Star | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 11 |
| 11 | St George Willawong FC | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 39 | 10 |
| 12 | Capalaba FC | 17 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | 50 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Holland Park Hawks | North Star |
|---|---|---|
| Redlands United | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Logan Lightning | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| St George Willawong FC | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Robina City | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Broadbeach United | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Brisbane Strikers | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Caboolture FC | 3-5 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 5 L | 1 W 0 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Holland Park Hawks (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Holland Park Hawks
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/06 | Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/06 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 19/06 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-2 | 3-5 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 05/05 | Lions FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
North Star
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/06 | Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 26/05 | Gold Coast United Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 10/05 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/04 | Caloundra Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Holland Park Hawks vs North Star?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Holland Park Hawks win (53%). Probabilities: Holland Park Hawks 53%, draw 22%, North Star 25%.
How many goals are expected in Holland Park Hawks vs North Star?
The model expects 3.81 goals (Holland Park Hawks 2.27 · North Star 1.54), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Holland Park Hawks vs North Star?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.