Football · Australia NPL Queensland · 14/08, 11:30

Prediction: Wynnum Wolves vs Magic United

Team pages: Wynnum Wolves · Magic United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.11Total

Wynnum Wolves2.65

Magic United1.46

1X2

62% 19% 19%

Wynnum Wolves Draw Magic United

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Wynnum Wolves 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWLDLDDWWD

Magic United 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWLWLW

Head-to-head

Wynnum Wolves 2–1–1 Magic United (4 last)

Magic United1-3Wynnum Wolves
Wynnum Wolves2-3Magic United
Wynnum Wolves2-1Magic United
Magic United1-1Wynnum Wolves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wynnum Wolves 1545 · Magic United 1460

	Wynnum Wolves	Draw	Magic United
Our model	62%	19%	19%
Market	62%	19%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 4.11 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wynnum Wolves (rating 1545 vs 1460).
H2H favours Wynnum Wolves: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wynnum Wolves	Magic United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	2.1 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.8 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.9	2.5 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.1	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.45

X4.75

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.93

2 (+1.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:13 +5’	1.45	4.75	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wynnum Wolves 2–1–1 Magic United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Australia NPL Queensland	Magic United	1-3 HT 1-1	Wynnum Wolves
30/04/24 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	Wynnum Wolves	2-3 HT 1-2	Magic United
11/06/22 Australia Queensland Premier League 2	Wynnum Wolves	2-1 HT 1-0	Magic United
16/04/22 Australia Queensland Premier League 2	Magic United	1-1 HT 1-1	Wynnum Wolves

Standings · Australia NPL Queensland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lions FC	21	16	2	3	55	22	50
2	Peninsula Power	21	13	5	3	47	25	44
3	Moreton City Excelsior	21	12	3	6	51	33	39
4	Gold Coast Knights	21	10	5	6	44	31	35
5	Brisbane City	21	9	6	6	45	46	33
6	Wynnum Wolves	21	9	6	6	36	37	33
7	Eastern Suburbs	21	9	2	10	34	33	29
8	Brisbane Olympic FC	21	8	2	11	38	41	26
9	Magic United	21	6	1	14	30	59	19
10	Rochedale Rovers	21	5	3	13	32	51	18
11	Gold Coast United	21	5	2	14	24	39	17
12	Brisbane Roar NPL	21	5	1	15	31	50	16

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wynnum Wolves	Magic United
Eastern Suburbs	0-0 D	4-1 W
Brisbane City	5-2 W	3-5 L
Gold Coast Knights	2-1 W	1-2 L
Rochedale Rovers	1-1 D	2-1 W
Lions FC	2-6 L	3-5 L
Moreton City Excelsior	2-2 D	3-4 L
Gold Coast United	2-1 W	3-1 W
Brisbane Roar NPL	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Magic United (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wynnum Wolves

WWLDLDDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Eastern Suburbs Australia NPL Queensland	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
31/07	Brisbane City Australia NPL Queensland	1-1	5-2	8	3	W
18/07	Gold Coast Knights Australia NPL Queensland	0-1	2-1	6	1	W
10/07	Peninsula Power Australia NPL Queensland	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
03/07	Rochedale Rovers Australia NPL Queensland	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
28/06	Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland	0-2	2-6	1	2	L
20/06	Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland	1-0	2-2	1	4	D
16/06	Eastern Suburbs Australia NPL Queensland	1-0	1-2	5	0	L
07/06	Gold Coast United Australia NPL Queensland	1-0	2-1	7	1	W
02/06	Brisbane Roar NPL Australia NPL Queensland	0-0	2-1	9	4	W

Magic United

LLWLLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Rochedale Rovers Australia NPL Queensland	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
02/08	Brisbane Olympic FC Australia NPL Queensland	0-2	0-3	5	7	L
18/07	Eastern Suburbs Australia NPL Queensland	0-1	4-1	6	3	W
11/07	Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland	1-2	3-4	1	11	L
05/07	Gold Coast United Australia NPL Queensland	2-1	3-1	4	6	W
27/06	Brisbane City Australia NPL Queensland	2-2	3-5	3	3	L
19/06	Gold Coast Knights Australia NPL Queensland	0-0	1-2	3	6	L
06/06	Brisbane Roar NPL Australia NPL Queensland	1-1	2-1	8	2	W
03/06	Rochedale Rovers Australia NPL Queensland	0-2	0-4	8	3	L
31/05	Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland	1-4	3-5	6	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wynnum Wolves vs Magic United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wynnum Wolves win (62%). Probabilities: Wynnum Wolves 62%, draw 19%, Magic United 19%.

How many goals are expected in Wynnum Wolves vs Magic United?

The model expects 4.11 goals (Wynnum Wolves 2.65 · Magic United 1.46), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wynnum Wolves vs Magic United?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.