Football · Australia NPL Queensland · 14/08, 11:30

Prediction: Gold Coast United vs Eastern Suburbs

Team pages: Gold Coast United · Eastern Suburbs

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Gold Coast United1.25

Eastern Suburbs1.72

1X2

27% 25% 48%

Gold Coast United Draw Eastern Suburbs

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Gold Coast United 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLDWL

Eastern Suburbs 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLLLLD

Head-to-head

Gold Coast United 2–1–3 Eastern Suburbs (6 last)

Eastern Suburbs2-1Gold Coast United
Eastern Suburbs5-1Gold Coast United
Gold Coast United1-4Eastern Suburbs
Eastern Suburbs0-3Gold Coast United
Gold Coast United1-1Eastern Suburbs
Gold Coast United3-2Eastern Suburbs

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gold Coast United 1404 · Eastern Suburbs 1468

	Gold Coast United	Draw	Eastern Suburbs
Our model	27%	26%	47%
Market	28%	24%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eastern Suburbs (rating 1404 vs 1468).
H2H favours Eastern Suburbs: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gold Coast United	Eastern Suburbs
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.6	1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.6	2.5 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	2.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.25

X3.75

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.88

2 (-0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:05 +13’	3.25	3.75	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gold Coast United 2–1–3 Eastern Suburbs

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Australia NPL Queensland	Eastern Suburbs	2-1 HT 2-1	Gold Coast United
15/08/25 Australia NPL Queensland	Eastern Suburbs	5-1 HT 4-0	Gold Coast United
04/05/25 Australia NPL Queensland	Gold Coast United	1-4 HT 1-0	Eastern Suburbs
17/06/23 Australia NPL Queensland	Eastern Suburbs	0-3 HT 0-2	Gold Coast United
11/03/23 Australia NPL Queensland	Gold Coast United	1-1 HT 1-0	Eastern Suburbs
20/08/22 Australia NPL Queensland	Gold Coast United	3-2 HT 1-0	Eastern Suburbs

Standings · Australia NPL Queensland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lions FC	21	16	2	3	55	22	50
2	Peninsula Power	21	13	5	3	47	25	44
3	Moreton City Excelsior	21	12	3	6	51	33	39
4	Gold Coast Knights	21	10	5	6	44	31	35
5	Brisbane City	21	9	6	6	45	46	33
6	Wynnum Wolves	21	9	6	6	36	37	33
7	Eastern Suburbs	21	9	2	10	34	33	29
8	Brisbane Olympic FC	21	8	2	11	38	41	26
9	Magic United	21	6	1	14	30	59	19
10	Rochedale Rovers	21	5	3	13	32	51	18
11	Gold Coast United	21	5	2	14	24	39	17
12	Brisbane Roar NPL	21	5	1	15	31	50	16

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gold Coast United	Eastern Suburbs
Brisbane City	0-2 L	3-1 W
Gold Coast Knights	1-0 W	1-4 L
Lions FC	0-1 L	0-1 L
Brisbane Olympic FC	3-0 W	1-2 L
Magic United	1-3 L	1-4 L
Moreton City Excelsior	0-1 L	0-0 D
Wynnum Wolves	1-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gold Coast United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Brisbane City Australia NPL Queensland	0-1	0-2	9	1	L
01/08	Gold Coast Knights Australia NPL Queensland	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
25/07	Gold Coast Knights Australia NPL Queensland	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
18/07	Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland	0-1	0-1	1	3	L
12/07	Brisbane Olympic FC Australia NPL Queensland	1-0	3-0	3	3	W
05/07	Magic United Australia NPL Queensland	1-2	1-3	3	6	L
28/06	Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
20/06	Brisbane Roar NPL Australia NPL Queensland	1-2	1-4	7	3	L
13/06	Brisbane City Australia NPL Queensland	0-2	0-2	1	0	L
07/06	Wynnum Wolves Australia NPL Queensland	0-1	1-2	3	1	L

Eastern Suburbs

DWWLLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Wynnum Wolves Australia NPL Queensland	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
31/07	Rochedale Rovers Australia NPL Queensland	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
18/07	Magic United Australia NPL Queensland	1-0	1-4	6	3	L
12/07	Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
04/07	Peninsula Power Australia NPL Queensland	1-1	1-3	7	3	L
27/06	Brisbane Olympic FC Australia NPL Queensland	1-2	1-2	6	3	L
23/06	Gold Coast Knights Australia NPL Queensland	0-3	1-4	3	2	L
20/06	Brisbane City Australia NPL Queensland	2-0	3-1	4	1	W
16/06	Wynnum Wolves Australia NPL Queensland	0-1	2-1	11	0	W
05/06	Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland	0-0	0-0	1	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gold Coast United vs Eastern Suburbs?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Eastern Suburbs win (48%). Probabilities: Gold Coast United 27%, draw 25%, Eastern Suburbs 48%.

How many goals are expected in Gold Coast United vs Eastern Suburbs?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Gold Coast United 1.25 · Eastern Suburbs 1.72), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Gold Coast United vs Eastern Suburbs?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.