Football · Australia NPL Queensland · 08/08, 10:00

Prediction: Magic United vs Rochedale Rovers

Team pages: Magic United · Rochedale Rovers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.25Total

Magic United2.02

Rochedale Rovers2.24

1X2

35% 22% 43%

Magic United Draw Rochedale Rovers

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-2

Recent form · 10 last

Magic United 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Rochedale Rovers 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Magic United 3–1 Rochedale Rovers (4 last)

Rochedale Rovers4-0Magic United
Magic United2-1Rochedale Rovers
Magic United2-1Rochedale Rovers
Rochedale Rovers1-4Magic United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Magic United 1459 · Rochedale Rovers 1451

	Magic United	Draw	Rochedale Rovers
Our model	35%	21%	44%
Market	35%	23%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 4.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Magic United: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Magic United	Rochedale Rovers
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2.9	1.8 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.6	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.5	1.1 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.60

X4.00

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 4.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
05:13 +59’	2.60	4.00	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Magic United 3–0–1 Rochedale Rovers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/06/26 Australia NPL Queensland	Rochedale Rovers	4-0 HT 2-0	Magic United
13/09/25 Australia Queensland Premier League	Magic United	2-1 HT 2-0	Rochedale Rovers
29/07/25 Australia Queensland Premier League	Magic United	2-1 HT 1-1	Rochedale Rovers
19/07/25 Australia Queensland Premier League	Rochedale Rovers	1-4 HT 0-1	Magic United

Standings · Australia NPL Queensland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lions FC	20	15	2	3	51	20	47
2	Peninsula Power	20	13	4	3	45	23	43
3	Moreton City Excelsior	20	11	3	6	49	32	36
4	Gold Coast Knights	20	10	4	6	42	29	34
5	Wynnum Wolves	20	9	5	6	36	37	32
6	Brisbane City	20	8	6	6	43	46	30
7	Eastern Suburbs	20	9	1	10	34	33	28
8	Brisbane Olympic FC	20	8	2	10	37	39	26
9	Rochedale Rovers	20	5	3	12	31	49	18
10	Gold Coast United	20	5	2	13	24	37	17
11	Brisbane Roar NPL	20	5	1	14	29	46	16
12	Magic United	20	5	1	14	28	58	16

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Magic United	Rochedale Rovers
Eastern Suburbs	4-1 W	2-1 W
Moreton City Excelsior	3-4 L	2-5 L
Brisbane City	3-5 L	2-3 L
Gold Coast Knights	1-2 L	4-1 W
Brisbane Roar NPL	2-1 W	1-4 L
Lions FC	3-5 L	1-2 L
Peninsula Power	2-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Magic United (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Magic United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Brisbane Olympic FC Australia NPL Queensland	0-2	0-3	5	7	L
18/07	Eastern Suburbs Australia NPL Queensland	0-1	4-1	6	3	W
11/07	Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland	1-2	3-4	1	11	L
05/07	Gold Coast United Australia NPL Queensland	2-1	3-1	4	6	W
27/06	Brisbane City Australia NPL Queensland	2-2	3-5	3	3	L
19/06	Gold Coast Knights Australia NPL Queensland	0-0	1-2	3	6	L
06/06	Brisbane Roar NPL Australia NPL Queensland	1-1	2-1	8	2	W
03/06	Rochedale Rovers Australia NPL Queensland	0-2	0-4	8	3	L
31/05	Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland	1-4	3-5	6	1	L
23/05	Peninsula Power Australia NPL Queensland	1-1	2-3	1	2	L

Rochedale Rovers

WLLLWDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Eastern Suburbs Australia NPL Queensland	1-0	2-1	2	6	W
18/07	Brisbane City Australia NPL Queensland	1-2	2-3	8	3	L
14/07	SD Raiders Australia Cup	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
10/07	Brisbane Roar NPL Australia NPL Queensland	0-1	1-4	7	5	L
03/07	Wynnum Wolves Australia NPL Queensland	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
26/06	Gold Coast Knights Australia NPL Queensland	1-1	4-1	8	2	W
21/06	Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland	0-1	1-2	2	3	L
16/06	Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland	0-2	2-5	1	2	L
06/06	Peninsula Power Australia NPL Queensland	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
03/06	Magic United Australia NPL Queensland	2-0	4-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Magic United vs Rochedale Rovers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rochedale Rovers win (43%). Probabilities: Magic United 35%, draw 22%, Rochedale Rovers 43%.

How many goals are expected in Magic United vs Rochedale Rovers?

The model expects 4.25 goals (Magic United 2.02 · Rochedale Rovers 2.24), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Magic United vs Rochedale Rovers?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.