Football · Australia NPL Queensland · 08/08, 10:00

Prediction: Eastern Suburbs vs Wynnum Wolves

Team pages: Eastern Suburbs · Wynnum Wolves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

Eastern Suburbs2.01

Wynnum Wolves1.52

1X2

49% 23% 29%

Eastern Suburbs Draw Wynnum Wolves

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Eastern Suburbs 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WDWWLLLLLL

Wynnum Wolves 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLDLDDWW

Head-to-head

Eastern Suburbs 4–2–0 Wynnum Wolves (6 last)

Wynnum Wolves1-2Eastern Suburbs
Eastern Suburbs1-0Wynnum Wolves
Wynnum Wolves2-4Eastern Suburbs
Eastern Suburbs2-2Wynnum Wolves
Wynnum Wolves0-0Eastern Suburbs
Wynnum Wolves1-5Eastern Suburbs

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eastern Suburbs 1452 · Wynnum Wolves 1540

	Eastern Suburbs	Draw	Wynnum Wolves
Our model	48%	23%	28%
Market	49%	22%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wynnum Wolves (rating 1452 vs 1540).
H2H favours Eastern Suburbs: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eastern Suburbs	Wynnum Wolves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.9	1.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.8	2.5 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.1	2.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.83

X4.00

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
05:28 +44’	1.83	4.00	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Eastern Suburbs 4–2–0 Wynnum Wolves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/06/26 Australia NPL Queensland	Wynnum Wolves	1-2 HT 1-0	Eastern Suburbs
02/08/25 Australia NPL Queensland	Eastern Suburbs	1-0 HT 0-0	Wynnum Wolves
24/05/25 Australia NPL Queensland	Wynnum Wolves	2-4 HT 0-3	Eastern Suburbs
22/03/23 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	Eastern Suburbs	2-2 HT 2-1	Wynnum Wolves
11/02/23 Australia Queensland Pro Series	Wynnum Wolves	0-0 HT 0-0	Eastern Suburbs
30/06/18 Australia Queensland Premier League	Wynnum Wolves	1-5 HT 0-2	Eastern Suburbs

Standings · Australia NPL Queensland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lions FC	20	15	2	3	51	20	47
2	Peninsula Power	20	13	4	3	45	23	43
3	Moreton City Excelsior	20	11	3	6	49	32	36
4	Gold Coast Knights	20	10	4	6	42	29	34
5	Wynnum Wolves	20	9	5	6	36	37	32
6	Brisbane City	20	8	6	6	43	46	30
7	Eastern Suburbs	20	9	1	10	34	33	28
8	Brisbane Olympic FC	20	8	2	10	37	39	26
9	Rochedale Rovers	20	5	3	12	31	49	18
10	Gold Coast United	20	5	2	13	24	37	17
11	Brisbane Roar NPL	20	5	1	14	29	46	16
12	Magic United	20	5	1	14	28	58	16

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eastern Suburbs	Wynnum Wolves
Rochedale Rovers	1-2 L	1-1 D
Lions FC	0-1 L	2-6 L
Peninsula Power	1-3 L	0-0 D
Brisbane Olympic FC	1-2 L	2-1 W
Gold Coast Knights	1-4 L	2-1 W
Brisbane City	3-1 W	5-2 W
Moreton City Excelsior	0-0 D	2-2 D
Brisbane Roar NPL	3-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Wynnum Wolves (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eastern Suburbs

WDWWLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Rochedale Rovers Australia NPL Queensland	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
18/07	Magic United Australia NPL Queensland	1-0	1-4	6	3	L
12/07	Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
04/07	Peninsula Power Australia NPL Queensland	1-1	1-3	7	3	L
27/06	Brisbane Olympic FC Australia NPL Queensland	1-2	1-2	6	3	L
23/06	Gold Coast Knights Australia NPL Queensland	0-3	1-4	3	2	L
20/06	Brisbane City Australia NPL Queensland	2-0	3-1	4	1	W
16/06	Wynnum Wolves Australia NPL Queensland	0-1	2-1	11	0	W
05/06	Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
24/05	Brisbane Roar NPL Australia NPL Queensland	1-0	3-1	1	2	W

Wynnum Wolves

WWWLDLDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Brisbane City Australia NPL Queensland	1-1	5-2	8	3	W
18/07	Gold Coast Knights Australia NPL Queensland	0-1	2-1	6	1	W
10/07	Peninsula Power Australia NPL Queensland	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
03/07	Rochedale Rovers Australia NPL Queensland	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
28/06	Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland	0-2	2-6	1	2	L
20/06	Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland	1-0	2-2	1	4	D
16/06	Eastern Suburbs Australia NPL Queensland	1-0	1-2	5	0	L
07/06	Gold Coast United Australia NPL Queensland	1-0	2-1	7	1	W
02/06	Brisbane Roar NPL Australia NPL Queensland	0-0	2-1	9	4	W
22/05	Brisbane Olympic FC Australia NPL Queensland	1-0	2-1	8	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eastern Suburbs vs Wynnum Wolves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Eastern Suburbs win (49%). Probabilities: Eastern Suburbs 49%, draw 23%, Wynnum Wolves 29%.

How many goals are expected in Eastern Suburbs vs Wynnum Wolves?

The model expects 3.53 goals (Eastern Suburbs 2.01 · Wynnum Wolves 1.52), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Eastern Suburbs vs Wynnum Wolves?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.