Prediction: Peninsula Power vs Wynnum Wolves
Expected goals: 3.89 (Peninsula Power 2.56 · Wynnum Wolves 1.32). The model gives 64% home, 18% draw, 18% away. Over 3.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Peninsula Power sits at 10-0-0 (W-D-L), while Wynnum Wolves arrives on a 4-2-4 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Peninsula Power and 2 for Wynnum Wolves, with 2 draws.
| Peninsula Power | Draw | Wynnum Wolves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 19% | 17% |
| Market | 64% | 18% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Peninsula Power (rating 1616 vs 1479).
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Peninsula Power | Wynnum Wolves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6 | 2.8 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Peninsula Power 2–2–2 Wynnum Wolves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/26 Australia NPL Queensland | Wynnum Wolves | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Peninsula Power |
| 19/07/25 Australia NPL Queensland | Wynnum Wolves | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Peninsula Power |
| 25/06/25 Australia NPL Queensland | Peninsula Power | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Wynnum Wolves |
| 01/06/24 Australia NPL Queensland | Peninsula Power | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Wynnum Wolves |
| 02/03/24 Australia NPL Queensland | Wynnum Wolves | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Peninsula Power |
| 13/02/21 Australia Friendlies | Peninsula Power | 9-1 HT 6-0 | Wynnum Wolves |
Standings · Australia NPL Queensland
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peninsula Power | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 43 | 20 | 41 |
| 2 | Lions FC | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 32 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 24 | 29 |
| 5 | Eastern Suburbs | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 26 | 28 |
| 6 | Brisbane City | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 39 | 26 |
| 7 | Wynnum Wolves | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 34 | 25 |
| 8 | Brisbane Olympic FC | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 35 | 20 |
| 9 | Rochedale Rovers | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 26 | 41 | 15 |
| 10 | Magic United | 17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 21 | 50 | 13 |
| 11 | Gold Coast United | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 35 | 10 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar NPL | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 22 | 42 | 10 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Peninsula Power | Wynnum Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Eastern Suburbs | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Brisbane Roar NPL | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Brisbane Olympic FC | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Rochedale Rovers | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Gold Coast United | 4-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Magic United | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Brisbane City | 4-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Lions FC | 3-2 W | 2-6 L |
| Record vs common | 8 W 0 D 0 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Peninsula Power (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Peninsula Power
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Eastern Suburbs Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Brisbane Roar NPL Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Brisbane Olympic FC Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Rochedale Rovers Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Gold Coast United Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Magic United Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 20/05 | Moggill Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Gold Coast Knights Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Brisbane City Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
Wynnum Wolves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Rochedale Rovers Australia NPL Queensland |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 28/06 | Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland |
0-2 | 2-6 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 16/06 | Eastern Suburbs Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | Gold Coast United Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 02/06 | Brisbane Roar NPL Australia NPL Queensland |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Brisbane Olympic FC Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Magic United Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 30/04 | Rochedale Rovers Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-3 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Brisbane City Australia NPL Queensland |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Peninsula Power vs Wynnum Wolves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Peninsula Power win (64%). Probabilities: Peninsula Power 64%, draw 18%, Wynnum Wolves 18%.
How many goals are expected in Peninsula Power vs Wynnum Wolves?
The model expects 3.89 goals (Peninsula Power 2.56 · Wynnum Wolves 1.32), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Peninsula Power vs Wynnum Wolves?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.