Football · Australia NPL Queensland · 18/07, 08:00
Prediction: Gold Coast Knights vs Wynnum Wolves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.7Total
Gold Coast Knights2.25
Wynnum Wolves1.44
1X2
Gold Coast Knights
Draw
Wynnum Wolves
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Gold Coast Knights
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Wynnum Wolves
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gold Coast Knights
6–0
Wynnum Wolves
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gold Coast Knights 1556 · Wynnum Wolves 1494
| Gold Coast Knights | Draw | Wynnum Wolves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 22% | 23% |
| Market | 55% | 21% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.7 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gold Coast Knights (rating 1556 vs 1494).
- H2H favours Gold Coast Knights: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gold Coast Knights | Wynnum Wolves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.4 | 2.9 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gold Coast Knights 6–0–0 Wynnum Wolves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Australia NPL Queensland | Wynnum Wolves | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Gold Coast Knights |
| 08/06/25 Australia NPL Queensland | Gold Coast Knights | 4-2 HT 3-1 | Wynnum Wolves |
| 21/05/25 Australia Cup Qualifying | Wynnum Wolves | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Gold Coast Knights |
| 01/03/25 Australia NPL Queensland | Wynnum Wolves | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Gold Coast Knights |
| 25/05/24 Australia NPL Queensland | Wynnum Wolves | 3-5 HT 0-3 | Gold Coast Knights |
| 23/02/24 Australia NPL Queensland | Gold Coast Knights | 9-0 HT 6-0 | Wynnum Wolves |
Standings · Australia NPL Queensland
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peninsula Power | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 20 | 42 |
| 2 | Lions FC | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 49 | 20 | 41 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 47 | 28 | 35 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 33 |
| 5 | Eastern Suburbs | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 27 | 28 |
| 6 | Brisbane City | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 39 | 27 |
| 7 | Wynnum Wolves | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 34 | 26 |
| 8 | Brisbane Olympic FC | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 38 | 20 |
| 9 | Rochedale Rovers | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 45 | 15 |
| 10 | Gold Coast United | 17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 35 | 13 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar NPL | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 43 | 13 |
| 12 | Magic United | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 54 | 13 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gold Coast Knights | Wynnum Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Lions FC | 2-1 W | 2-6 L |
| Moreton City Excelsior | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Rochedale Rovers | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Eastern Suburbs | 4-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Magic United | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Brisbane Olympic FC | 5-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Peninsula Power | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Brisbane Roar NPL | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Gold Coast Knights (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gold Coast Knights
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Brisbane City Australia NPL Queensland |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 07/07 | Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 26/06 | Rochedale Rovers Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 23/06 | Eastern Suburbs Australia NPL Queensland |
3-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Magic United Australia NPL Queensland |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 05/06 | Brisbane Olympic FC Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 15/05 | Peninsula Power Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Brisbane Roar NPL Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 17/04 | Wynnum Wolves Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Wynnum Wolves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Peninsula Power Australia NPL Queensland |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 03/07 | Rochedale Rovers Australia NPL Queensland |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 28/06 | Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland |
0-2 | 2-6 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 16/06 | Eastern Suburbs Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | Gold Coast United Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 02/06 | Brisbane Roar NPL Australia NPL Queensland |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Brisbane Olympic FC Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Magic United Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 30/04 | Rochedale Rovers Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-3 | 11 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gold Coast Knights vs Wynnum Wolves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gold Coast Knights win (55%). Probabilities: Gold Coast Knights 55%, draw 21%, Wynnum Wolves 24%.
How many goals are expected in Gold Coast Knights vs Wynnum Wolves?
The model expects 3.7 goals (Gold Coast Knights 2.25 · Wynnum Wolves 1.44), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Gold Coast Knights vs Wynnum Wolves?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.