Football · Australia NPL Queensland · 18/07, 10:00
Prediction: Eastern Suburbs vs Magic United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.14Total
Eastern Suburbs3
Magic United1.14
1X2
Eastern Suburbs
Draw
Magic United
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Eastern Suburbs
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Magic United
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Eastern Suburbs
2–0
Magic United
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eastern Suburbs 1524 · Magic United 1410
| Eastern Suburbs | Draw | Magic United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| Market | 75% | 14% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.14 goals · Bet365 line 4.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eastern Suburbs (rating 1524 vs 1410).
- H2H favours Eastern Suburbs: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Eastern Suburbs | Magic United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.5 | 1.8 / 3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.9 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 4.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eastern Suburbs 2–0–0 Magic United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia NPL Queensland | Magic United | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Eastern Suburbs |
| 24/01/26 Australia Queensland Pro Series | Magic United | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Eastern Suburbs |
Standings · Australia NPL Queensland
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peninsula Power | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 20 | 42 |
| 2 | Lions FC | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 49 | 20 | 41 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 47 | 28 | 35 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 33 |
| 5 | Eastern Suburbs | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 27 | 28 |
| 6 | Brisbane City | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 39 | 27 |
| 7 | Wynnum Wolves | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 34 | 26 |
| 8 | Brisbane Olympic FC | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 38 | 20 |
| 9 | Rochedale Rovers | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 45 | 15 |
| 10 | Gold Coast United | 17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 35 | 13 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar NPL | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 43 | 13 |
| 12 | Magic United | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 54 | 13 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Eastern Suburbs | Magic United |
|---|---|---|
| Lions FC | 0-1 L | 3-5 L |
| Peninsula Power | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Brisbane Olympic FC | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Gold Coast Knights | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Brisbane City | 3-1 W | 3-5 L |
| Wynnum Wolves | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Moreton City Excelsior | 0-0 D | 3-4 L |
| Brisbane Roar NPL | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Gold Coast United | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Rochedale Rovers | 6-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 8 L |
Better against common opponents: Eastern Suburbs (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eastern Suburbs
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Peninsula Power Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Brisbane Olympic FC Australia NPL Queensland |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 23/06 | Gold Coast Knights Australia NPL Queensland |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Brisbane City Australia NPL Queensland |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/06 | Wynnum Wolves Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 05/06 | Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Brisbane Roar NPL Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Gold Coast United Australia NPL Queensland |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Rochedale Rovers Australia NPL Queensland |
3-0 | 6-1 | 0 | 1 | W |
Magic United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland |
1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 11 | L |
| 05/07 | Gold Coast United Australia NPL Queensland |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 27/06 | Brisbane City Australia NPL Queensland |
2-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | Gold Coast Knights Australia NPL Queensland |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Brisbane Roar NPL Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/06 | Rochedale Rovers Australia NPL Queensland |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland |
1-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Peninsula Power Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Wynnum Wolves Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Brisbane Olympic FC Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eastern Suburbs vs Magic United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Eastern Suburbs win (74%). Probabilities: Eastern Suburbs 74%, draw 15%, Magic United 11%.
How many goals are expected in Eastern Suburbs vs Magic United?
The model expects 4.14 goals (Eastern Suburbs 3 · Magic United 1.14), with a 53% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Eastern Suburbs vs Magic United?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.