Football · Australia NPL Queensland · 19/07, 08:00
Prediction: Brisbane Olympic FC vs Brisbane Roar NPL
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.01Total
Brisbane Olympic FC2.38
Brisbane Roar NPL1.63
1X2
Brisbane Olympic FC
Draw
Brisbane Roar NPL
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Brisbane Olympic FC
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Brisbane Roar NPL
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Brisbane Olympic FC
4–1–1
Brisbane Roar NPL
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brisbane Olympic FC 1448 · Brisbane Roar NPL 1434
| Brisbane Olympic FC | Draw | Brisbane Roar NPL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 21% | 25% |
| Market | 54% | 21% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.01 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Brisbane Olympic FC: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brisbane Olympic FC | Brisbane Roar NPL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.7 | 1.6 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.7 | 1.8 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brisbane Olympic FC 4–1–1 Brisbane Roar NPL
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Australia NPL Queensland | Brisbane Roar NPL | 1-5 HT 0-1 | Brisbane Olympic FC |
| 03/08/25 Australia NPL Queensland | Brisbane Roar NPL | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Brisbane Olympic FC |
| 25/05/25 Australia NPL Queensland | Brisbane Olympic FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Brisbane Roar NPL |
| 04/08/24 Australia NPL Queensland | Brisbane Olympic FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Brisbane Roar NPL |
| 28/04/24 Australia NPL Queensland | Brisbane Roar NPL | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Brisbane Olympic FC |
| 08/07/23 Australia NPL Queensland | Brisbane Roar NPL | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Brisbane Olympic FC |
Standings · Australia NPL Queensland
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peninsula Power | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 20 | 42 |
| 2 | Lions FC | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 49 | 20 | 41 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 47 | 28 | 35 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 33 |
| 5 | Eastern Suburbs | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 27 | 28 |
| 6 | Brisbane City | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 39 | 27 |
| 7 | Wynnum Wolves | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 34 | 26 |
| 8 | Brisbane Olympic FC | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 38 | 20 |
| 9 | Rochedale Rovers | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 45 | 15 |
| 10 | Gold Coast United | 17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 35 | 13 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar NPL | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 43 | 13 |
| 12 | Magic United | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 54 | 13 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brisbane Olympic FC | Brisbane Roar NPL |
|---|---|---|
| Gold Coast United | 0-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Lions FC | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Eastern Suburbs | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Peninsula Power | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Gold Coast Knights | 2-5 L | 2-3 L |
| Brisbane City | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Wynnum Wolves | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Moreton City Excelsior | 3-4 L | 0-6 L |
| Rochedale Rovers | 1-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 8 L | 2 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Brisbane Roar NPL (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brisbane Olympic FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Gold Coast United Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Eastern Suburbs Australia NPL Queensland |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Peninsula Power Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 05/06 | Gold Coast Knights Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | Brisbane City Australia NPL Queensland |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/05 | Lions FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | Wynnum Wolves Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland |
1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Rochedale Rovers Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
Brisbane Roar NPL
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Rochedale Rovers Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/07 | Brisbane City Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 27/06 | Peninsula Power Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | Gold Coast United Australia NPL Queensland |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Magic United Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 02/06 | Wynnum Wolves Australia NPL Queensland |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Eastern Suburbs Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Gold Coast Knights Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brisbane Olympic FC vs Brisbane Roar NPL?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Brisbane Olympic FC win (54%). Probabilities: Brisbane Olympic FC 54%, draw 21%, Brisbane Roar NPL 26%.
How many goals are expected in Brisbane Olympic FC vs Brisbane Roar NPL?
The model expects 4.01 goals (Brisbane Olympic FC 2.38 · Brisbane Roar NPL 1.63), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Brisbane Olympic FC vs Brisbane Roar NPL?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.