Football · Australia NPL Queensland · 31/07, 11:30

Prediction: Wynnum Wolves vs Brisbane City

Team pages: Wynnum Wolves · Brisbane City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.64Total

Wynnum Wolves1.82

Brisbane City1.82

1X2

39% 23% 39%

Wynnum Wolves Draw Brisbane City

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Wynnum Wolves 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLDLDDW

Brisbane City 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLWDDW

Head-to-head

Wynnum Wolves 3–1–2 Brisbane City (6 last)

Brisbane City3-0Wynnum Wolves
Brisbane City3-4Wynnum Wolves
Wynnum Wolves0-0Brisbane City
Wynnum Wolves1-0Brisbane City
Brisbane City2-3Wynnum Wolves
Wynnum Wolves1-3Brisbane City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wynnum Wolves 1530 · Brisbane City 1538

	Wynnum Wolves	Draw	Brisbane City
Our model	38%	24%	38%
Market	39%	22%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Wynnum Wolves: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wynnum Wolves	Brisbane City
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	2.1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	1.2 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.9	2.7 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X4.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
01:58 +9’	2.30	4.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wynnum Wolves 3–1–2 Brisbane City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Australia NPL Queensland	Brisbane City	3-0 HT 0-0	Wynnum Wolves
05/07/25 Australia NPL Queensland	Brisbane City	3-4 HT 2-1	Wynnum Wolves
04/06/25 Australia NPL Queensland	Wynnum Wolves	0-0 HT 0-0	Brisbane City
13/07/24 Australia NPL Queensland	Wynnum Wolves	1-0 HT 0-0	Brisbane City
13/04/24 Australia NPL Queensland	Brisbane City	2-3 HT 1-1	Wynnum Wolves
11/06/21 Australia Queensland Premier League	Wynnum Wolves	1-3 HT 1-3	Brisbane City

Standings · Australia NPL Queensland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lions FC	19	14	2	3	50	20	44
2	Peninsula Power	19	13	4	2	45	22	43
3	Moreton City Excelsior	19	11	3	5	49	30	36
4	Gold Coast Knights	19	10	4	5	42	28	34
5	Brisbane City	19	8	6	5	41	41	30
6	Wynnum Wolves	19	8	5	6	31	35	29
7	Eastern Suburbs	19	9	1	9	33	31	28
8	Brisbane Olympic FC	19	7	2	10	34	39	23
9	Magic United	19	5	1	13	28	55	16
10	Rochedale Rovers	19	4	3	12	29	48	15
11	Gold Coast United	19	4	2	13	23	37	14
12	Brisbane Roar NPL	19	4	1	14	27	46	13

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wynnum Wolves	Brisbane City
Gold Coast Knights	2-1 W	0-0 D
Peninsula Power	0-0 D	1-4 L
Rochedale Rovers	1-1 D	3-2 W
Lions FC	2-6 L	0-4 L
Moreton City Excelsior	2-2 D	5-2 W
Eastern Suburbs	1-2 L	1-3 L
Gold Coast United	2-1 W	2-0 W
Brisbane Roar NPL	2-1 W	1-1 D
Brisbane Olympic FC	2-1 W	3-2 W
Magic United	3-1 W	5-3 W
Record vs common	5 W 3 D 2 L	5 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Wynnum Wolves (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wynnum Wolves

WWWWLDLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Gold Coast Knights Australia NPL Queensland	0-1	2-1	6	1	W
10/07	Peninsula Power Australia NPL Queensland	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
03/07	Rochedale Rovers Australia NPL Queensland	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
28/06	Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland	0-2	2-6	1	2	L
20/06	Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland	1-0	2-2	1	4	D
16/06	Eastern Suburbs Australia NPL Queensland	1-0	1-2	5	0	L
07/06	Gold Coast United Australia NPL Queensland	1-0	2-1	7	1	W
02/06	Brisbane Roar NPL Australia NPL Queensland	0-0	2-1	9	4	W
22/05	Brisbane Olympic FC Australia NPL Queensland	1-0	2-1	8	4	W
10/05	Magic United Australia NPL Queensland	1-1	3-1	6	5	W

Brisbane City

LWWLWLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Rochedale Rovers Australia NPL Queensland	2-1	3-2	6	3	W
12/07	Gold Coast Knights Australia NPL Queensland	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
05/07	Brisbane Roar NPL Australia NPL Queensland	0-1	1-1	1	6	D
27/06	Magic United Australia NPL Queensland	2-2	5-3	9	3	W
20/06	Eastern Suburbs Australia NPL Queensland	0-2	1-3	7	1	L
13/06	Gold Coast United Australia NPL Queensland	2-0	2-0	1	0	W
06/06	Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland	0-3	0-4	3	4	L
31/05	Brisbane Olympic FC Australia NPL Queensland	2-2	3-2	5	4	W
22/05	Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland	3-1	5-2	4	7	W
08/05	Peninsula Power Australia NPL Queensland	1-1	1-4	5	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wynnum Wolves vs Brisbane City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wynnum Wolves win (39%). Probabilities: Wynnum Wolves 39%, draw 23%, Brisbane City 39%.

How many goals are expected in Wynnum Wolves vs Brisbane City?

The model expects 3.64 goals (Wynnum Wolves 1.82 · Brisbane City 1.82), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Wynnum Wolves vs Brisbane City?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.