Prediction: Gold Coast United vs Brisbane Olympic FC
Expected goals: 3.26 (Gold Coast United 1.42 · Brisbane Olympic FC 1.85). The model gives 29% home, 24% draw, 47% away. Under 3.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Gold Coast United with 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses over 10 games; Brisbane Olympic FC has piled up 2-0-8 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Gold Coast United won 0 and Brisbane Olympic FC 3, with 3 draws.
| Gold Coast United | Draw | Brisbane Olympic FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 25% | 47% |
| Market | 29% | 24% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brisbane Olympic FC (rating 1395 vs 1469).
- H2H favours Brisbane Olympic FC: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gold Coast United | Brisbane Olympic FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2 | 1.4 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5 | 2.1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gold Coast United 0–3–3 Brisbane Olympic FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Australia NPL Queensland | Brisbane Olympic FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Gold Coast United |
| 22/06/25 Australia NPL Queensland | Gold Coast United | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Brisbane Olympic FC |
| 23/03/25 Australia NPL Queensland | Brisbane Olympic FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Gold Coast United |
| 20/07/24 Australia NPL Queensland | Gold Coast United | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Brisbane Olympic FC |
| 21/04/24 Australia NPL Queensland | Brisbane Olympic FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gold Coast United |
| 30/07/23 Australia NPL Queensland | Gold Coast United | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Brisbane Olympic FC |
Standings · Australia NPL Queensland
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peninsula Power | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 43 | 20 | 41 |
| 2 | Lions FC | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 32 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 24 | 29 |
| 5 | Eastern Suburbs | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 26 | 28 |
| 6 | Brisbane City | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 39 | 26 |
| 7 | Wynnum Wolves | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 34 | 25 |
| 8 | Brisbane Olympic FC | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 35 | 20 |
| 9 | Rochedale Rovers | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 26 | 41 | 15 |
| 10 | Magic United | 17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 21 | 50 | 13 |
| 11 | Gold Coast United | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 35 | 10 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar NPL | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 22 | 42 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gold Coast United | Brisbane Olympic FC |
|---|---|---|
| Magic United | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Moreton City Excelsior | 0-1 L | 3-4 L |
| Brisbane City | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Wynnum Wolves | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Peninsula Power | 0-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Rochedale Rovers | 4-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Eastern Suburbs | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 6 L | 2 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Brisbane Olympic FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gold Coast United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Magic United Australia NPL Queensland |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 28/06 | Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Brisbane Roar NPL Australia NPL Queensland |
1-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Brisbane City Australia NPL Queensland |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | Wynnum Wolves Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Peninsula Power Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 26/05 | North Star Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Rochedale Rovers Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Eastern Suburbs Australia NPL Queensland |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | Grange Thistle Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 2 | W |
Brisbane Olympic FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Eastern Suburbs Australia NPL Queensland |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Peninsula Power Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 05/06 | Gold Coast Knights Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | Brisbane City Australia NPL Queensland |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/05 | Lions FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | Wynnum Wolves Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland |
1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Rochedale Rovers Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Magic United Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gold Coast United vs Brisbane Olympic FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Brisbane Olympic FC win (47%). Probabilities: Gold Coast United 29%, draw 24%, Brisbane Olympic FC 47%.
How many goals are expected in Gold Coast United vs Brisbane Olympic FC?
The model expects 3.26 goals (Gold Coast United 1.42 · Brisbane Olympic FC 1.85), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Gold Coast United vs Brisbane Olympic FC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.