Prediction: Lillehammer vs Drøbak/Frogn
Team pages: Lillehammer · Drøbak/Frogn
- Drøbak/Frogn2-2Lillehammer
| Lillehammer | Draw | Drøbak/Frogn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 75% | 14% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lillehammer (rating 1609 vs 1529).
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lillehammer | Drøbak/Frogn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.4 / 1.3 | 2.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.4 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.3 | 1.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lillehammer 0–1–0 Drøbak/Frogn
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Drøbak/Frogn | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Lillehammer |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lillehammer | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 52 | 19 | 32 |
| 2 | Gjøvik-Lyn | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Rade IL | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 25 |
| 4 | Elverum | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 25 |
| 5 | Ørn Horten | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 21 | 22 |
| 6 | Oppsal | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 20 |
| 7 | Lyn 1896 II | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 27 | 20 |
| 8 | Drøbak/Frogn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 19 |
| 9 | Sandefjord 2 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 36 | 30 | 19 |
| 10 | Rælingen | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 37 | 17 |
| 11 | Fram | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 12 |
| 12 | Sarpsborg 2 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 34 | 11 |
| 13 | Brumunddal | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 48 | 8 |
| 14 | Bjørkelangen | 13 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | 43 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lillehammer | Drøbak/Frogn |
|---|---|---|
| Lyn 1896 II | 5-3 W | 2-1 W |
| Bjørkelangen | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Rade IL | 8-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Brumunddal | 8-0 W | 7-1 W |
| Gjøvik-Lyn | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Fram | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Sarpsborg 2 | 6-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 0 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lillehammer (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lillehammer
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
3-0 | 5-3 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
7-0 | 8-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/05 | Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
4-0 | 8-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/05 | Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/04 | Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-1 | 6-1 | – | – | W |
Drøbak/Frogn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-0 | 7-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | Rakkestad Norway Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/05 | Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 04/05 | Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lillehammer vs Drøbak/Frogn?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lillehammer win (75%). Probabilities: Lillehammer 75%, draw 14%, Drøbak/Frogn 10%.
How many goals are expected in Lillehammer vs Drøbak/Frogn?
The model expects 4.27 goals (Lillehammer 3.12 · Drøbak/Frogn 1.15), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Lillehammer vs Drøbak/Frogn?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.