Football · Norway Division 3 Group 6 · 08/08, 15:00

Prediction: Elverum vs Ørn Horten

Team pages: Elverum · Ørn Horten

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.01Total

Elverum2.39

Ørn Horten1.62

1X2

54% 21% 25%

Elverum Draw Ørn Horten

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Elverum 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWWDWW

Ørn Horten 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWDLLWWL

Head-to-head

Elverum 1–1 Ørn Horten (2 last)

Ørn Horten0-3Elverum
Ørn Horten1-0Elverum

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elverum (rating 1573 vs 1513).
High corners: 14.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Elverum	Ørn Horten
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 1.7	2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 7	2.8 / 7.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.79

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:36

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Pinn 1.57
X	4.11 → 4.11	Pinn 4.11
2	4.07 → 4.07	Pinn 4.07

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
05:34 +2’	1.57	4.11	4.07

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Elverum 1–0–1 Ørn Horten

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Ørn Horten	0-3 HT 0-1	Elverum
02/03/25 Europe Friendlies	Ørn Horten	1-0 HT 0-0	Elverum

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lillehammer	14	11	2	1	54	20	35
2	Gjøvik-Lyn	14	9	2	3	20	9	29
3	Rade IL	14	9	1	4	56	26	28
4	Elverum	14	9	1	4	37	23	28
5	Lyn 1896 II	14	7	2	5	35	28	23
6	Ørn Horten	14	6	4	4	26	23	22
7	Oppsal	14	6	3	5	25	20	21
8	Rælingen	14	6	2	6	29	37	20
9	Drøbak/Frogn	14	5	4	5	25	18	19
10	Sandefjord 2	14	6	1	7	37	33	19
11	Fram	14	3	3	8	18	30	12
12	Sarpsborg 2	14	3	3	8	23	36	12
13	Brumunddal	14	2	2	10	16	57	8
14	Bjørkelangen	14	1	0	13	10	51	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Elverum	Ørn Horten
Fram	3-1 W	1-1 D
Sandefjord 2	5-3 W	4-3 W
Oppsal	2-1 W	2-0 W
Brumunddal	4-0 W	6-1 W
Gjøvik-Lyn	0-1 L	0-3 L
Bjørkelangen	5-0 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Elverum (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Elverum

LWWLWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
25/07	Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-3	5-3	–	–	W
27/06	Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
20/06	Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
13/06	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
31/05	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	4-0	4	2	W
25/05	Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-1	10	5	L
14/05	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
09/05	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-0	5-0	–	–	W
02/05	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-1	3-7	–	–	L

Ørn Horten

WDWWDLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-2	5	7	L
27/07	Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-2	3-2	7	0	W
27/06	Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-2	4-3	4	3	W
20/06	Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-3	7	4	L
13/06	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
31/05	Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-0	12	6	D
23/05	Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
16/05	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-1	4-2	6	4	W
10/05	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	1-1	10	7	D
02/05	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	6-1	12	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Elverum vs Ørn Horten?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Elverum win (54%). Probabilities: Elverum 54%, draw 21%, Ørn Horten 25%.

How many goals are expected in Elverum vs Ørn Horten?

The model expects 4.01 goals (Elverum 2.39 · Ørn Horten 1.62), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Elverum vs Ørn Horten?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.