Prediction: Rælingen vs Rade IL

Team pages: Rælingen · Rade IL

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.67Total
Rælingen1.73
Rade IL2.93
1X2
21% 17% 62%
Rælingen Draw Rade IL
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Rælingen 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLWLDLWLLW
Rade IL 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WLWLWWWLWW
Head-to-head
Rælingen 0–1 Rade IL (1 last)
  • Rade IL7-2Rælingen
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rælingen 1489 · Rade IL 1561
RælingenDrawRade IL
Our model21%18%62%
Market21%17%62%
Estimated total (ours) 4.67 goals · Bet365 line 4.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rade IL (rating 1489 vs 1561).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

RælingenRade IL
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 2.53.6 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 1.21.7 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.72 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 02.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rælingen 001 Rade IL

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/06/26
Norway Division 3 Group 6
Rade IL7-2
HT 5-1
Rælingen

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lillehammer 151221 562038
2 Elverum 151014 382331
3 Gjøvik-Lyn 15924 201129
4 Rade IL 14914 562628
5 Oppsal 15735 262024
6 Lyn 1896 II 14725 352823
7 Ørn Horten 15645 262422
8 Rælingen 14626 293720
9 Drøbak/Frogn 14545 251819
10 Sandefjord 2 14617 373319
11 Fram 14338 183012
12 Sarpsborg 2 14338 233612
13 Brumunddal 142210 16578
14 Bjørkelangen 151014 10523

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRælingenRade IL
Lillehammer 2-4 L 1-8 L
Oppsal 1-3 L 0-1 L
Bjørkelangen 3-1 W 8-1 W
Lyn 1896 II 1-3 L 3-5 L
Gjøvik-Lyn 2-1 W 3-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 3 L 2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Rade IL (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rælingen

WLWLDLWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Ørn Horten
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-0 2-0 27 W
25/07 Lillehammer
Norway Division 3 Group 6
1-2 2-4 13 L
27/06 Oppsal
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-1 1-3 52 L
20/06 Bjørkelangen
Norway Division 3 Group 6
2-1 3-1 92 W
13/06 Rade IL
Norway Division 3 Group 6
1-5 2-7 11 L
31/05 Ørn Horten
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-0 0-0 46 D
25/05 Fram
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-2 1-5 23 L
14/05 Brumunddal
Norway Division 3 Group 6
3-1 4-1 63 W
11/05 Lyn 1896 II
Norway Division 3 Group 6
1-0 1-3 53 L
02/05 Gjøvik-Lyn
Norway Division 3 Group 6
1-0 2-1 25 W

Rade IL

WLWLWWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Bjørkelangen
Norway Division 3 Group 6
5-1 8-1 21 W
25/07 Gjøvik-Lyn
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-0 3-0 24 W
28/06 Lyn 1896 II
Norway Division 3 Group 6
1-2 3-5 64 L
20/06 Drøbak/Frogn
Norway Division 3 Group 6
1-0 2-1 44 W
13/06 Rælingen
Norway Division 3 Group 6
5-1 7-2 51 W
06/06 Østsiden
Norway Cup
2-0 4-0 91 W
30/05 Lillehammer
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-7 1-8 L
26/05 Sarpsborg 2
Norway Division 3 Group 6
2-1 5-1 42 W
14/05 Oppsal
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-0 0-1 95 L
10/05 Sandefjord 2
Norway Division 3 Group 6
1-0 3-1 63 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rælingen vs Rade IL?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rade IL win (62%). Probabilities: Rælingen 21%, draw 17%, Rade IL 62%.

How many goals are expected in Rælingen vs Rade IL?

The model expects 4.67 goals (Rælingen 1.73 · Rade IL 2.93), with a 53% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Rælingen vs Rade IL?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.