Football · Norway Division 3 Group 6 · 08/08, 14:00

Prediction: Bjørkelangen vs Oppsal

Team pages: Bjørkelangen · Oppsal

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.83Total

Bjørkelangen1.34

Oppsal2.49

1X2

19% 19% 62%

Bjørkelangen Draw Oppsal

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Bjørkelangen 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLWLL

Oppsal 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWLWDD

Head-to-head

Bjørkelangen 0–1 Oppsal (1 last)

Oppsal4-1Bjørkelangen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bjørkelangen 1397 · Oppsal 1546

	Bjørkelangen	Draw	Oppsal
Our model	19%	20%	62%
Market	19%	19%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 3.83 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oppsal (rating 1397 vs 1546).
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bjørkelangen	Oppsal
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 3.4	2.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.4	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4	2.5 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

14.75

X4.75

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)2.00

2 (-1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.88

Under 3.751.93

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.20▼	Bet365 4.20
X	4.75 → 4.50▼	Bet365 4.50
2	1.44 → 1.53▲	Bet365 1.53

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
20:18 +3’	4.75	4.75	1.44
08:07 +3’	4.20▼	4.50▼	1.53▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bjørkelangen 0–0–1 Oppsal

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Oppsal	4-1 HT 1-1	Bjørkelangen

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lillehammer	14	11	2	1	54	20	35
2	Gjøvik-Lyn	14	9	2	3	20	9	29
3	Rade IL	14	9	1	4	56	26	28
4	Elverum	14	9	1	4	37	23	28
5	Lyn 1896 II	14	7	2	5	35	28	23
6	Ørn Horten	14	6	4	4	26	23	22
7	Oppsal	14	6	3	5	25	20	21
8	Rælingen	14	6	2	6	29	37	20
9	Drøbak/Frogn	14	5	4	5	25	18	19
10	Sandefjord 2	14	6	1	7	37	33	19
11	Fram	14	3	3	8	18	30	12
12	Sarpsborg 2	14	3	3	8	23	36	12
13	Brumunddal	14	2	2	10	16	57	8
14	Bjørkelangen	14	1	0	13	10	51	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bjørkelangen	Oppsal
Rade IL	1-8 L	1-0 W
Sarpsborg 2	2-0 W	2-2 D
Rælingen	1-3 L	3-1 W
Sandefjord 2	1-3 L	4-3 W
Ørn Horten	2-4 L	0-2 L
Elverum	0-5 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Oppsal (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bjørkelangen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-5	1-8	3	1	L
25/07	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
25/06	Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	2-0	6	4	W
20/06	Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-2	1-3	6	2	L
13/06	Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
06/06	Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	1-3	3	6	L
31/05	Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
16/05	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-1	2-4	3	4	L
09/05	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-3	0-5	–	–	L
02/05	Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-1	1-4	3	3	L

Oppsal

WWWLWWLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/08	Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	2-2	3	4	D
27/07	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	2-2	5	4	D
27/06	Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	3-1	6	2	W
20/06	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
13/06	Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-2	4-3	13	5	W
30/05	Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
23/05	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
14/05	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
09/05	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
02/05	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-1	4-1	7	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bjørkelangen vs Oppsal?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Oppsal win (62%). Probabilities: Bjørkelangen 19%, draw 19%, Oppsal 62%.

How many goals are expected in Bjørkelangen vs Oppsal?

The model expects 3.83 goals (Bjørkelangen 1.34 · Oppsal 2.49), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bjørkelangen vs Oppsal?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.