Football · Norway Division 3 Group 6 · 01/08, 15:00

Prediction: Sandefjord 2 vs Gjøvik-Lyn

Team pages: Sandefjord 2 · Gjøvik-Lyn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

Sandefjord 21.56

Gjøvik-Lyn1.64

1X2

37% 24% 40%

Sandefjord 2 Draw Gjøvik-Lyn

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sandefjord 2 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Gjøvik-Lyn 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sandefjord 2 0–1 Gjøvik-Lyn (1 last)

Gjøvik-Lyn1-0Sandefjord 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sandefjord 2 1471 · Gjøvik-Lyn 1522

	Sandefjord 2	Draw	Gjøvik-Lyn
Our model	36%	26%	39%
Market	37%	22%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gjøvik-Lyn (rating 1471 vs 1522).
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sandefjord 2	Gjøvik-Lyn
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 2.3	1.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6.1	2.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.40

X4.10

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:27 +5’	2.40	4.10	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sandefjord 2 0–0–1 Gjøvik-Lyn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Gjøvik-Lyn	1-0 HT 1-0	Sandefjord 2

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lillehammer	13	10	2	1	52	19	32
2	Gjøvik-Lyn	13	8	2	3	17	8	26
3	Rade IL	13	8	1	4	48	25	25
4	Elverum	13	8	1	4	34	22	25
5	Ørn Horten	13	6	4	3	26	21	22
6	Oppsal	13	6	2	5	23	18	20
7	Lyn 1896 II	13	6	2	5	26	27	20
8	Drøbak/Frogn	13	5	4	4	24	16	19
9	Sandefjord 2	13	6	1	6	36	30	19
10	Rælingen	13	5	2	6	27	37	17
11	Fram	13	3	3	7	17	27	12
12	Sarpsborg 2	13	3	2	8	21	34	11
13	Brumunddal	13	2	2	9	15	48	8
14	Bjørkelangen	13	1	0	12	9	43	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sandefjord 2	Gjøvik-Lyn
Elverum	3-5 L	1-0 W
Ørn Horten	3-4 L	3-0 W
Brumunddal	2-2 D	3-0 W
Drøbak/Frogn	2-3 L	0-0 D
Rade IL	1-3 L	0-3 L
Lyn 1896 II	3-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Gjøvik-Lyn (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sandefjord 2

LWLLWWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-3	3-5	–	–	L
27/06	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-1	3-4	9	3	L
21/06	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-1	2-2	12	2	D
13/06	Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-1	3-4	4	5	L
06/06	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	3-1	8	6	W
31/05	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	4-0	2	2	W
14/05	Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	2-3	8	1	L
10/05	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	1-3	4	3	L
04/05	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	3-0	5	4	W
27/04	Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	0-1	3	1	L

Gjøvik-Lyn

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-3	5	4	L
25/06	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	3-0	6	2	W
20/06	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	3-0	4	4	W
13/06	Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
01/06	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
25/05	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
14/05	Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-2	1-3	4	6	L
10/05	Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	1-0	8	3	W
02/05	Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
27/04	Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	1-0	10	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sandefjord 2 vs Gjøvik-Lyn?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gjøvik-Lyn win (40%). Probabilities: Sandefjord 2 37%, draw 24%, Gjøvik-Lyn 40%.

How many goals are expected in Sandefjord 2 vs Gjøvik-Lyn?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Sandefjord 2 1.56 · Gjøvik-Lyn 1.64), with a 56% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sandefjord 2 vs Gjøvik-Lyn?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.