Football · USA NWSL Women · 17/08, 01:00

Prediction: North Carolina Courage (W) vs Houston Dash (W)

Team pages: North Carolina Courage (W) · Houston Dash (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

North Carolina Courage (W)1.99

Houston Dash (W)1.04

1X2

58% 23% 18%

North Carolina Courage (W) Draw Houston Dash (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

North Carolina Courage (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLLWWW

Houston Dash (W) 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLLDDWLD

Head-to-head

North Carolina Courage (W) 4–2 Houston Dash (W) (6 last)

Houston Dash (W)0-1North Carolina Courage (W)
Houston Dash (W)2-1North Carolina Courage (W)
North Carolina Courage (W)2-1Houston Dash (W)
Houston Dash (W)3-0North Carolina Courage (W)
North Carolina Courage (W)5-1Houston Dash (W)
North Carolina Courage (W)1-0Houston Dash (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours North Carolina Courage (W) (rating 1556 vs 1468).
H2H favours North Carolina Courage (W): 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	North Carolina Courage (W)	Houston Dash (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.5	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.1	1 / 1.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 32.01

Under 31.79

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 01:08

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.49 → 1.50▲	Pinn 1.50
X	4.37 → 4.31▼	Pinn 4.31
2	5.20 → 5.13▼	Pinn 5.13

See the full journey (4)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:40 +1’	1.49	4.37	5.20
09:31	1.50▲	4.37	5.14▼
02:45 +1’	1.50▲	4.32▼	5.15▲
01:08	1.50▲	4.31▼	5.13▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · North Carolina Courage (W) 4–0–2 Houston Dash (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 USA NWSL Women	Houston Dash (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	North Carolina Courage (W)
09/08/25 USA NWSL Women	Houston Dash (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	North Carolina Courage (W)
22/06/25 USA NWSL Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Houston Dash (W)
25/05/24 USA NWSL Women	Houston Dash (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	North Carolina Courage (W)
17/03/24 USA NWSL Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	5-1 HT 1-0	Houston Dash (W)
02/07/23 USA NWSL Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Houston Dash (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	19	12	4	3	24	12	40
2	Washington Spirit (W)	19	11	3	5	29	17	36
3	Utah Royals (W)	19	10	3	6	32	21	33
4	San Diego Wave (W)	19	10	2	7	24	20	32
5	Portland Thorns (W)	19	9	4	6	32	28	31
6	North Carolina Courage (W)	18	9	3	6	32	26	30
7	Kansas City Current (W)	19	9	3	7	30	26	30
8	Angel City FC (W)	17	7	3	7	26	19	24
9	Reign FC (W)	17	7	3	7	22	23	24
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	18	6	5	7	24	24	23
11	Orlando Pride (W)	19	7	2	10	23	29	23
12	Boston Legacy FC (W)	19	5	5	9	22	28	20
13	Houston Dash (W)	18	5	5	8	20	26	20
14	Bay FC (W)	18	5	4	9	18	24	19
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	18	5	2	11	24	35	17
16	Chicago Stars (W)	18	4	1	13	9	33	13

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	North Carolina Courage (W)	Houston Dash (W)
Washington Spirit (W)	4-3 W	1-2 L
Denver Summit FC (W)	2-0 W	2-2 D
Bay FC (W)	0-3 L	1-0 W
Angel City FC (W)	2-1 W	2-1 W
Racing Louisville FC (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: North Carolina Courage (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

North Carolina Courage (W)

WWWWLLLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	3-0	4-3	2	4	W
06/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
01/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	3-0	5-0	2	3	W
26/07	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	1-4	5	1	L
18/07	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-3	8	0	L
12/07	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-2	4	1	L
05/07	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	3-1	4	1	W
01/06	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-1	3	1	W
23/05	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
17/05	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	4-0	7	2	W

Houston Dash (W)

LDWLLDDWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-1	0	0	D
02/08	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
25/07	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
19/07	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-1	1	6	D
13/07	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	2-2	1	0	D
04/07	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	0	3	L
31/05	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
24/05	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	1	6	W
21/05	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-2	2	5	D
16/05	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-3	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in North Carolina Courage (W) vs Houston Dash (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a North Carolina Courage (W) win (58%). Probabilities: North Carolina Courage (W) 58%, draw 23%, Houston Dash (W) 18%.

How many goals are expected in North Carolina Courage (W) vs Houston Dash (W)?

The model expects 3.03 goals (North Carolina Courage (W) 1.99 · Houston Dash (W) 1.04), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in North Carolina Courage (W) vs Houston Dash (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.