Football · USA NWSL Women · 23/08, 22:00
Prediction: Washington Spirit (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)
Team pages: Washington Spirit (W) · Orlando Pride (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Washington Spirit (W)1.91
Orlando Pride (W)1.01
1X2
Washington Spirit (W)
Draw
Orlando Pride (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Washington Spirit (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Orlando Pride (W)
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Washington Spirit (W)
2–1–3
Orlando Pride (W)
(6 last)
- Orlando Pride (W)2-4Washington Spirit (W)
- Washington Spirit (W)2-3Orlando Pride (W)
- Orlando Pride (W)0-1Washington Spirit (W)
- Orlando Pride (W)1-1Washington Spirit (W)
- Orlando Pride (W)1-0Washington Spirit (W)
- Orlando Pride (W)2-0Washington Spirit (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Washington Spirit (W) (rating 1536 vs 1456).
- H2H favours Orlando Pride (W): 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Washington Spirit (W) | Orlando Pride (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4 | 2.9 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Washington Spirit (W) 2–1–3 Orlando Pride (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 USA NWSL Women | Orlando Pride (W) | 2-4 HT 2-2 | Washington Spirit (W) |
| 18/10/25 USA NWSL Women | Washington Spirit (W) | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Orlando Pride (W) |
| 19/04/25 USA NWSL Women | Orlando Pride (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Washington Spirit (W) |
| 08/03/25 USA NWSL Challenge Cup Women | Orlando Pride (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Washington Spirit (W) |
| 24/11/24 USA NWSL Women | Orlando Pride (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Washington Spirit (W) |
| 06/10/24 USA NWSL Women | Orlando Pride (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Washington Spirit (W) |
Standings · USA NWSL Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 43 |
| 2 | Utah Royals (W) | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 35 | 23 | 36 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit (W) | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 17 | 36 |
| 4 | Portland Thorns (W) | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 34 |
| 5 | San Diego Wave (W) | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 21 | 33 |
| 6 | North Carolina Courage (W) | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 30 |
| 7 | Kansas City Current (W) | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 28 | 30 |
| 8 | Reign FC (W) | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 23 | 27 |
| 9 | Angel City FC (W) | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 24 |
| 10 | Denver Summit FC (W) | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 25 | 24 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride (W) | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 31 | 23 |
| 12 | Houston Dash (W) | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 20 |
| 13 | Racing Louisville FC (W) | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 36 | 20 |
| 14 | Boston Legacy FC (W) | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 32 | 20 |
| 15 | Bay FC (W) | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 19 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars (W) | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 34 | 13 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Washington Spirit (W) | Orlando Pride (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Angel City FC (W) | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| North Carolina Courage (W) | 3-4 L | 0-5 L |
| San Diego Wave (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Utah Royals (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Boston Legacy FC (W) | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Washington Spirit (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Washington Spirit (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 30/07 | Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 27/07 | Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/07 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 16/07 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Orlando Pride (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 19/07 | Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/07 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 25/05 | San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Washington Spirit (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Washington Spirit (W) win (57%). Probabilities: Washington Spirit (W) 57%, draw 24%, Orlando Pride (W) 19%.
How many goals are expected in Washington Spirit (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)?
The model expects 2.91 goals (Washington Spirit (W) 1.91 · Orlando Pride (W) 1.01), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Washington Spirit (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.