Football · USA NWSL Women · 23/08, 02:45

Prediction: Portland Thorns (W) vs Denver Summit FC (W)

Team pages: Portland Thorns (W) · Denver Summit FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Portland Thorns (W)1.7

Denver Summit FC (W)1.36

1X2

44% 26% 30%

Portland Thorns (W) Draw Denver Summit FC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Portland Thorns (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLDLWW

Denver Summit FC (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWLDWLDLWD

Head-to-head

Portland Thorns (W) 0–1 Denver Summit FC (W) (1 last)

Denver Summit FC (W)2-1Portland Thorns (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Portland Thorns (W)	Denver Summit FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.4	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 1	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.6	3.2 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.94

Under 31.84

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:21

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.36 → 2.36	Pinn 2.36
X	3.59 → 3.59	Pinn 3.59
2	2.56 → 2.56	Pinn 2.56

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
01:21	2.36	3.59	2.56

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Portland Thorns (W) 0–0–1 Denver Summit FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 USA NWSL Women	Denver Summit FC (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Portland Thorns (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	20	13	4	3	26	13	43
2	Utah Royals (W)	20	11	3	6	35	23	36
3	Washington Spirit (W)	19	11	3	5	29	17	36
4	Portland Thorns (W)	20	10	4	6	34	29	34
5	San Diego Wave (W)	20	10	3	7	25	21	33
6	North Carolina Courage (W)	18	9	3	6	32	26	30
7	Kansas City Current (W)	20	9	3	8	31	28	30
8	Reign FC (W)	18	8	3	7	23	23	27
9	Angel City FC (W)	17	7	3	7	26	19	24
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	19	6	6	7	25	25	24
11	Orlando Pride (W)	20	7	2	11	24	31	23
12	Houston Dash (W)	18	5	5	8	20	26	20
13	Racing Louisville FC (W)	19	6	2	11	28	36	20
14	Boston Legacy FC (W)	20	5	5	10	23	32	20
15	Bay FC (W)	19	5	4	10	20	27	19
16	Chicago Stars (W)	19	4	1	14	9	34	13

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Portland Thorns (W)	Denver Summit FC (W)
Boston Legacy FC (W)	4-3 W	1-1 D
Utah Royals (W)	1-5 L	2-1 W
Racing Louisville FC (W)	4-0 W	1-0 W
San Diego Wave (W)	3-4 L	1-1 D
Kansas City Current (W)	1-3 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Portland Thorns (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Portland Thorns (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-1	0	3	W
09/08	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	4-2	4-3	2	6	W
03/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-5	2	0	L
25/07	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-2	3	6	D
18/07	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	2	2	L
12/07	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-2	8	2	L
06/07	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	3-0	4-0	3	4	W
29/06	San Diego Wave (W) Women’s Friendly	2-1	3-4	–	–	L
30/05	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
24/05	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-3	8	0	L

Denver Summit FC (W)

LWLDWLDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-1	1	3	D
09/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-1	8	2	W
06/08	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	6	2	L
03/08	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-1	6	1	D
27/07	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
18/07	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	6	2	W
13/07	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	2-2	6	0	D
04/07	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-3	5	1	L
30/05	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
24/05	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	8	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Portland Thorns (W) vs Denver Summit FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Portland Thorns (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Portland Thorns (W) 44%, draw 26%, Denver Summit FC (W) 30%.

How many goals are expected in Portland Thorns (W) vs Denver Summit FC (W)?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Portland Thorns (W) 1.7 · Denver Summit FC (W) 1.36), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Portland Thorns (W) vs Denver Summit FC (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.