Football · USA NWSL Women · 24/08, 02:00

Prediction: Angel City FC (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Team pages: Angel City FC (W) · NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.48Total

Angel City FC (W)1.01

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)1.47

1X2

25% 27% 47%

Angel City FC (W) Draw NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Angel City FC (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWLDDD

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WLWWWDWWWW

Head-to-head

Angel City FC (W) 0–1–5 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) (6 last)

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)3-1Angel City FC (W)
Angel City FC (W)0-4NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)1-0Angel City FC (W)
Angel City FC (W)1-2NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)2-1Angel City FC (W)
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)0-0Angel City FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Angel City FC (W) 1506 · NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 1580

	Angel City FC (W)	Draw	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
Our model	25%	29%	47%
Market	26%	26%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) (rating 1506 vs 1580).
H2H favours NJ/NY Gotham FC (W): 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Angel City FC (W)	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	1.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.9	1.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.40

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 2.07 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.9% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
06:11 +15’	3.40	3.40	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:39	3.56	3.31	1.96
16:40 +1’	3.26▼	3.35▲	2.05▲
23:53	3.27▲	3.31▼	2.07▲
03:36 +1’	3.27	3.30▼	2.07

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Angel City FC (W) 0–1–5 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/09/25 USA NWSL Women	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	3-1 HT 0-1	Angel City FC (W)
19/04/25 USA NWSL Women	Angel City FC (W)	0-4 HT 0-1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
06/08/24 NWSL x Liga MXF Summer Cup Women	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Angel City FC (W)
07/07/24 USA NWSL Women	Angel City FC (W)	1-2 HT 0-2	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
08/06/24 USA NWSL Women	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Angel City FC (W)
02/07/23 USA NWSL Women	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Angel City FC (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	20	13	4	3	26	13	43
2	Washington Spirit (W)	20	11	4	5	30	18	37
3	Utah Royals (W)	21	11	3	7	37	27	36
4	San Diego Wave (W)	21	11	3	7	29	23	36
5	Portland Thorns (W)	20	10	4	6	34	29	34
6	North Carolina Courage (W)	19	9	3	7	34	29	30
7	Kansas City Current (W)	20	9	3	8	31	28	30
8	Reign FC (W)	19	8	3	8	24	25	27
9	Houston Dash (W)	20	7	5	8	28	28	26
10	Angel City FC (W)	18	7	4	7	27	20	25
11	Denver Summit FC (W)	19	6	6	7	25	25	24
12	Racing Louisville FC (W)	20	7	2	11	30	37	23
13	Orlando Pride (W)	20	7	2	11	24	31	23
14	Boston Legacy FC (W)	20	5	5	10	23	32	20
15	Bay FC (W)	19	5	4	10	20	27	19
16	Chicago Stars (W)	20	4	1	15	9	39	13

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Angel City FC (W)	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
Washington Spirit (W)	1-1 D	1-0 W
Reign FC (W)	2-2 D	3-2 W
Kansas City Current (W)	1-1 D	2-1 W
San Diego Wave (W)	2-0 W	1-0 W
Houston Dash (W)	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Angel City FC (W)

WLLWWWLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
10/08	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-2	8	2	D
02/08	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
27/07	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
19/07	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-0	7	2	W
12/07	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	2-0	3	4	W
04/07	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
01/06	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	5	1	L
24/05	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	6	6	L
21/05	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	5	2	W

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

WLWWWDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	2-1	7	1	W
08/08	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
02/08	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
30/07	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/07	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-2	8	6	D
18/07	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	3-2	4	2	W
16/07	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
11/07	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	3-1	3	5	W
05/07	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
31/05	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	4	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Angel City FC (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Angel City FC (W) 25%, draw 27%, NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 47%.

How many goals are expected in Angel City FC (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Angel City FC (W) 1.01 · NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 1.47), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Angel City FC (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.