Football · USA NWSL Women · 23/08, 01:30

Prediction: North Carolina Courage (W) vs Boston Legacy FC (W)

Team pages: North Carolina Courage (W) · Boston Legacy FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.54Total

North Carolina Courage (W)2.21

Boston Legacy FC (W)1.33

1X2

57% 22% 22%

North Carolina Courage (W) Draw Boston Legacy FC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

North Carolina Courage (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Boston Legacy FC (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

North Carolina Courage (W) 0–1–0 Boston Legacy FC (W) (1 last)

Boston Legacy FC (W)2-2North Carolina Courage (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours North Carolina Courage (W) (rating 1545 vs 1468).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	North Carolina Courage (W)	Boston Legacy FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.5	1.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.1	2.3 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.01

Under 3.251.79

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:52

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.82 → 1.84▲	Pinn 1.84
X	3.80 → 3.90▲	Pinn 3.90
2	3.33 → 3.41▲	Pinn 3.41

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
01:19 +1’	1.82	3.80	3.33
02:52	1.84▲	3.90▲	3.41▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · North Carolina Courage (W) 0–1–0 Boston Legacy FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/04/26 USA NWSL Women	Boston Legacy FC (W)	2-2 HT 2-0	North Carolina Courage (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	20	13	4	3	26	13	43
2	Utah Royals (W)	20	11	3	6	35	23	36
3	Washington Spirit (W)	19	11	3	5	29	17	36
4	Portland Thorns (W)	20	10	4	6	34	29	34
5	San Diego Wave (W)	20	10	3	7	25	21	33
6	North Carolina Courage (W)	18	9	3	6	32	26	30
7	Kansas City Current (W)	20	9	3	8	31	28	30
8	Reign FC (W)	18	8	3	7	23	23	27
9	Angel City FC (W)	17	7	3	7	26	19	24
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	19	6	6	7	25	25	24
11	Orlando Pride (W)	20	7	2	11	24	31	23
12	Houston Dash (W)	18	5	5	8	20	26	20
13	Racing Louisville FC (W)	19	6	2	11	28	36	20
14	Boston Legacy FC (W)	20	5	5	10	23	32	20
15	Bay FC (W)	19	5	4	10	20	27	19
16	Chicago Stars (W)	19	4	1	14	9	34	13

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	North Carolina Courage (W)	Boston Legacy FC (W)
Washington Spirit (W)	4-3 W	1-2 L
Denver Summit FC (W)	2-0 W	1-1 D
Orlando Pride (W)	5-0 W	1-0 W
Bay FC (W)	0-3 L	2-2 D
Reign FC (W)	3-1 W	1-2 L
Racing Louisville FC (W)	2-1 W	1-4 L
Chicago Stars (W)	4-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: North Carolina Courage (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

North Carolina Courage (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	3-0	4-3	2	4	W
06/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
01/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	3-0	5-0	2	3	W
26/07	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	1-4	5	1	L
18/07	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-3	8	0	L
12/07	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-2	4	1	L
05/07	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	3-1	4	1	W
01/06	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-1	3	1	W
23/05	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
17/05	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	4-0	7	2	W

Boston Legacy FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-4	2	0	L
09/08	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	2-4	3-4	6	6	L
03/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
25/07	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
20/07	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	1-2	1	3	L
16/07	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
11/07	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
05/07	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	2-2	6	4	D
30/05	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
23/05	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-2	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in North Carolina Courage (W) vs Boston Legacy FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a North Carolina Courage (W) win (57%). Probabilities: North Carolina Courage (W) 57%, draw 22%, Boston Legacy FC (W) 22%.

How many goals are expected in North Carolina Courage (W) vs Boston Legacy FC (W)?

The model expects 3.54 goals (North Carolina Courage (W) 2.21 · Boston Legacy FC (W) 1.33), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in North Carolina Courage (W) vs Boston Legacy FC (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.