Football · USA NWSL Women · 29/08, 04:00

Prediction: San Diego Wave (W) vs Racing Louisville FC (W)

Team pages: San Diego Wave (W) · Racing Louisville FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

San Diego Wave (W)1.7

Racing Louisville FC (W)1.37

1X2

44% 26% 30%

San Diego Wave (W) Draw Racing Louisville FC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

San Diego Wave (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLDLWLDW

Racing Louisville FC (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWLWWWWL

Head-to-head

San Diego Wave (W) 3–2–1 Racing Louisville FC (W) (6 last)

San Diego Wave (W)0-1Racing Louisville FC (W)
Racing Louisville FC (W)1-4San Diego Wave (W)
Racing Louisville FC (W)1-3San Diego Wave (W)
Racing Louisville FC (W)0-0San Diego Wave (W)
San Diego Wave (W)2-0Racing Louisville FC (W)
Racing Louisville FC (W)0-0San Diego Wave (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours San Diego Wave (W): 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Diego Wave (W)	Racing Louisville FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	1.7 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.2	3.3 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	2.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.51 → 1.51	Pinn 1.51
X	4.28 → 4.28	Pinn 4.28
2	5.08 → 5.08	Pinn 5.08

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
21:17	1.51	4.28	5.08

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · San Diego Wave (W) 3–2–1 Racing Louisville FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/08/25 USA NWSL Women	San Diego Wave (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Racing Louisville FC (W)
19/04/25 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	1-4 HT 1-1	San Diego Wave (W)
03/11/24 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	1-3 HT 0-2	San Diego Wave (W)
14/04/24 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	San Diego Wave (W)
15/10/23 USA NWSL Women	San Diego Wave (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Racing Louisville FC (W)
10/06/23 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	San Diego Wave (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	20	13	4	3	26	13	43
2	Washington Spirit (W)	20	11	4	5	30	18	37
3	Portland Thorns (W)	21	11	4	6	35	29	37
4	Utah Royals (W)	21	11	3	7	37	27	36
5	San Diego Wave (W)	21	11	3	7	29	23	36
6	North Carolina Courage (W)	20	10	3	7	36	30	33
7	Kansas City Current (W)	21	9	4	8	32	29	31
8	Reign FC (W)	20	8	4	8	25	26	28
9	Houston Dash (W)	20	7	5	8	28	28	26
10	Angel City FC (W)	18	7	4	7	27	20	25
11	Denver Summit FC (W)	20	6	6	8	25	26	24
12	Racing Louisville FC (W)	20	7	2	11	30	37	23
13	Orlando Pride (W)	20	7	2	11	24	31	23
14	Boston Legacy FC (W)	21	5	5	11	24	34	20
15	Bay FC (W)	19	5	4	10	20	27	19
16	Chicago Stars (W)	20	4	1	15	9	39	13

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Diego Wave (W)	Racing Louisville FC (W)
Reign FC (W)	0-2 L	2-1 W
Kansas City Current (W)	2-2 D	1-5 L
Angel City FC (W)	0-2 L	2-1 W
Chicago Stars (W)	2-0 W	2-3 L
Orlando Pride (W)	0-1 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Racing Louisville FC (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Diego Wave (W)

LWWLDLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	4-2	2	0	W
15/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
08/08	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
02/08	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
26/07	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
18/07	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-2	6	2	D
12/07	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-2	10	4	L
05/07	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	0	2	W
31/05	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
25/05	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	3	5	L

Racing Louisville FC (W)

LLDWLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-3	7	0	L
20/08	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	0	1	W
16/08	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	4-1	5	0	W
08/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	3-1	9	1	W
01/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-1	7	1	W
30/07	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-3	1-5	3	3	L
27/07	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
19/07	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
11/07	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
06/07	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-3	0-4	7	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Diego Wave (W) vs Racing Louisville FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a San Diego Wave (W) win (44%). Probabilities: San Diego Wave (W) 44%, draw 26%, Racing Louisville FC (W) 30%.

How many goals are expected in San Diego Wave (W) vs Racing Louisville FC (W)?

The model expects 3.07 goals (San Diego Wave (W) 1.7 · Racing Louisville FC (W) 1.37), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in San Diego Wave (W) vs Racing Louisville FC (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.