Football · USA NWSL Women · 06/09, 00:30

Prediction: Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Angel City FC (W)

Team pages: Racing Louisville FC (W) · Angel City FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

Racing Louisville FC (W)1.63

Angel City FC (W)1.22

1X2

46% 27% 28%

Racing Louisville FC (W) Draw Angel City FC (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Racing Louisville FC (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Angel City FC (W) 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Racing Louisville FC (W) 4–1–1 Angel City FC (W) (6 last)

Angel City FC (W)1-2Racing Louisville FC (W)
Racing Louisville FC (W)1-0Angel City FC (W)
Angel City FC (W)2-3Racing Louisville FC (W)
Racing Louisville FC (W)2-1Angel City FC (W)
Angel City FC (W)3-2Racing Louisville FC (W)
Racing Louisville FC (W)1-1Angel City FC (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Racing Louisville FC (W): 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Racing Louisville FC (W)	Angel City FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.9	1.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.8	2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.83

Under 2.751.97

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:38

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.16 → 3.16	Pinn 3.16
X	3.58 → 3.58	Pinn 3.58
2	2.02 → 2.02	Pinn 2.02

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:38	3.16	3.58	2.02

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Louisville FC (W) 4–1–1 Angel City FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/07/26 USA NWSL Women	Angel City FC (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Racing Louisville FC (W)
28/09/25 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Angel City FC (W)
25/05/25 USA NWSL Women	Angel City FC (W)	2-3 HT 0-1	Racing Louisville FC (W)
15/09/24 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Angel City FC (W)
20/06/24 USA NWSL Women	Angel City FC (W)	3-2 HT 2-1	Racing Louisville FC (W)
20/08/23 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Angel City FC (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	22	13	6	3	27	14	45
2	Washington Spirit (W)	22	12	4	6	31	19	40
3	Utah Royals (W)	22	12	3	7	39	28	39
4	San Diego Wave (W)	22	12	3	7	32	25	39
5	Portland Thorns (W)	22	11	5	6	36	30	38
6	North Carolina Courage (W)	22	11	3	8	40	33	36
7	Kansas City Current (W)	22	10	4	8	35	31	34
8	Reign FC (W)	21	9	4	8	26	26	31
9	Denver Summit FC (W)	21	7	6	8	31	27	27
10	Angel City FC (W)	20	7	5	8	27	22	26
11	Houston Dash (W)	22	7	5	10	28	30	26
12	Orlando Pride (W)	22	8	2	12	26	33	26
13	Racing Louisville FC (W)	22	7	2	13	34	43	23
14	Bay FC (W)	21	6	4	11	21	28	22
15	Boston Legacy FC (W)	21	5	5	11	24	34	20
16	Chicago Stars (W)	22	5	1	16	13	47	16

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Racing Louisville FC (W)	Angel City FC (W)
San Diego Wave (W)	2-3 L	2-0 W
Chicago Stars (W)	2-3 L	2-0 W
Reign FC (W)	2-1 W	2-2 D
Orlando Pride (W)	3-1 W	2-0 W
Kansas City Current (W)	1-5 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Angel City FC (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Racing Louisville FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	2-3	6	4	L
23/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-3	7	0	L
20/08	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	0	1	W
16/08	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	4-1	5	0	W
08/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	3-1	9	1	W
01/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-1	7	1	W
30/07	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-3	1-5	3	3	L
27/07	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
19/07	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
11/07	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	7	2	L

Angel City FC (W)

LWWWLDDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/08	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
24/08	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
17/08	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
10/08	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-2	8	2	D
02/08	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
27/07	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
19/07	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-0	7	2	W
12/07	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	2-0	3	4	W
04/07	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
01/06	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	5	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Angel City FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Racing Louisville FC (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Racing Louisville FC (W) 46%, draw 27%, Angel City FC (W) 28%.

How many goals are expected in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Angel City FC (W)?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Racing Louisville FC (W) 1.63 · Angel City FC (W) 1.22), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Angel City FC (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.