Football · USA NWSL Women · 07/09, 01:00

Prediction: Orlando Pride (W) vs Houston Dash (W)

Team pages: Orlando Pride (W) · Houston Dash (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

Orlando Pride (W)1.31

Houston Dash (W)1.23

1X2

37% 29% 34%

Orlando Pride (W) Draw Houston Dash (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Orlando Pride (W) 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLLLWL

Houston Dash (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDDWLDWWLL

Head-to-head

Orlando Pride (W) 4–1–1 Houston Dash (W) (6 last)

Houston Dash (W)1-1Orlando Pride (W)
Orlando Pride (W)1-0Houston Dash (W)
Orlando Pride (W)3-1Houston Dash (W)
Houston Dash (W)0-1Orlando Pride (W)
Orlando Pride (W)1-0Houston Dash (W)
Houston Dash (W)2-0Orlando Pride (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Houston Dash (W) (rating 1449 vs 1493).
H2H favours Orlando Pride (W): 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Orlando Pride (W)	Houston Dash (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.6	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5	1.3 / 2.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.83

Under 2.751.96

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 23:19

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.97 → 1.71▼	Pinn 1.71
X	3.67 → 3.94▲	Pinn 3.94
2	3.19 → 3.96▲	Pinn 3.96

See the full journey (4)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
10:31	1.97	3.67	3.19
14:42	1.90▼	3.74▲	3.36▲
21:01	1.90	3.72▼	3.36
23:18	1.71▼	3.94▲	3.96▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Orlando Pride (W) 4–1–1 Houston Dash (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/10/25 USA NWSL Women	Houston Dash (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Orlando Pride (W)
08/06/25 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Houston Dash (W)
29/09/24 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	3-1 HT 1-0	Houston Dash (W)
24/08/24 USA NWSL Women	Houston Dash (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Orlando Pride (W)
15/10/23 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Houston Dash (W)
04/06/23 USA NWSL Women	Houston Dash (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Orlando Pride (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	22	13	6	3	27	14	45
2	Washington Spirit (W)	22	12	4	6	31	19	40
3	Utah Royals (W)	22	12	3	7	39	28	39
4	San Diego Wave (W)	22	12	3	7	32	25	39
5	Portland Thorns (W)	22	11	5	6	36	30	38
6	North Carolina Courage (W)	22	11	3	8	40	33	36
7	Kansas City Current (W)	22	10	4	8	35	31	34
8	Reign FC (W)	21	9	4	8	26	26	31
9	Angel City FC (W)	21	8	5	8	32	24	29
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	21	7	6	8	31	27	27
11	Houston Dash (W)	22	7	5	10	28	30	26
12	Orlando Pride (W)	22	8	2	12	26	33	26
13	Racing Louisville FC (W)	22	7	2	13	34	43	23
14	Bay FC (W)	21	6	4	11	21	28	22
15	Boston Legacy FC (W)	22	5	5	12	26	39	20
16	Chicago Stars (W)	22	5	1	16	13	47	16

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Orlando Pride (W)	Houston Dash (W)
Washington Spirit (W)	1-0 W	1-2 L
Racing Louisville FC (W)	1-3 L	1-1 D
North Carolina Courage (W)	0-5 L	3-2 W
Chicago Stars (W)	1-0 W	5-0 W
Kansas City Current (W)	3-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Houston Dash (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Orlando Pride (W)

LWLLWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
23/08	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
16/08	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
08/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-3	8	1	L
01/08	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-3	0-5	10	3	L
25/07	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
19/07	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
16/07	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
11/07	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	3-0	1	0	W
04/07	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	3	1	L

Houston Dash (W)

LDDWLDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	0	4	L
24/08	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
20/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	3-0	5-0	3	2	W
17/08	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	3-2	4	1	W
09/08	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-1	0	0	D
02/08	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
25/07	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
19/07	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-1	1	6	D
13/07	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	2-2	1	0	D
04/07	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	0	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orlando Pride (W) vs Houston Dash (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Orlando Pride (W) win (37%). Probabilities: Orlando Pride (W) 37%, draw 29%, Houston Dash (W) 34%.

How many goals are expected in Orlando Pride (W) vs Houston Dash (W)?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Orlando Pride (W) 1.31 · Houston Dash (W) 1.23), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Orlando Pride (W) vs Houston Dash (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.