Football · USA NWSL Women · 07/09, 03:00

Prediction: Reign FC (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)

Team pages: Reign FC (W) · San Diego Wave (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

Reign FC (W)1.65

San Diego Wave (W)1.3

1X2

45% 26% 29%

Reign FC (W) Draw San Diego Wave (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Reign FC (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWDWLDW

San Diego Wave (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDLWLDWW

Head-to-head

Reign FC (W) 4–1–1 San Diego Wave (W) (6 last)

San Diego Wave (W)0-2Reign FC (W)
Reign FC (W)0-0San Diego Wave (W)
San Diego Wave (W)1-2Reign FC (W)
Reign FC (W)2-1San Diego Wave (W)
San Diego Wave (W)1-0Reign FC (W)
San Diego Wave (W)0-1Reign FC (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Reign FC (W): 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Reign FC (W)	San Diego Wave (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.2	1.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.92

Under 2.751.87

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:37

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.92 → 2.92	Pinn 2.92
X	3.49 → 3.47▼	Pinn 3.47
2	2.16 → 2.17▲	Pinn 2.17

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:47	2.92	3.49	2.16
09:37	2.92	3.47▼	2.17▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Reign FC (W) 4–1–1 San Diego Wave (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 USA NWSL Women	San Diego Wave (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Reign FC (W)
30/08/25 USA NWSL Women	Reign FC (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	San Diego Wave (W)
07/06/25 USA NWSL Women	San Diego Wave (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	Reign FC (W)
04/05/24 USA NWSL Women	Reign FC (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	San Diego Wave (W)
30/03/24 USA NWSL Women	San Diego Wave (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Reign FC (W)
06/11/23 USA NWSL Women	San Diego Wave (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Reign FC (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	22	13	6	3	27	14	45
2	Washington Spirit (W)	22	12	4	6	31	19	40
3	Utah Royals (W)	22	12	3	7	39	28	39
4	San Diego Wave (W)	22	12	3	7	32	25	39
5	Portland Thorns (W)	22	11	5	6	36	30	38
6	North Carolina Courage (W)	22	11	3	8	40	33	36
7	Kansas City Current (W)	22	10	4	8	35	31	34
8	Reign FC (W)	21	9	4	8	26	26	31
9	Angel City FC (W)	21	8	5	8	32	24	29
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	21	7	6	8	31	27	27
11	Houston Dash (W)	22	7	5	10	28	30	26
12	Orlando Pride (W)	22	8	2	12	26	33	26
13	Racing Louisville FC (W)	22	7	2	13	34	43	23
14	Bay FC (W)	21	6	4	11	21	28	22
15	Boston Legacy FC (W)	22	5	5	12	26	39	20
16	Chicago Stars (W)	22	5	1	16	13	47	16

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Reign FC (W)	San Diego Wave (W)
Kansas City Current (W)	1-1 D	2-2 D
Racing Louisville FC (W)	1-2 L	3-2 W
Chicago Stars (W)	1-0 W	2-0 W
Angel City FC (W)	2-2 D	0-2 L
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	2-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: San Diego Wave (W) (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Reign FC (W)

LWLWWDWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
23/08	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
20/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	12	1	L
15/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	13	0	W
10/08	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-2	3	2	D
02/08	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	3-2	3	5	W
26/07	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
18/07	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	2-3	1	2	L
12/07	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	2-0	3	2	W
05/07	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-3	4	1	L

San Diego Wave (W)

WWLDLWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	3-2	11	4	W
22/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	4-2	2	0	W
15/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
08/08	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
02/08	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
26/07	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
18/07	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-2	6	2	D
12/07	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-2	10	4	L
05/07	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	0	2	W
31/05	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Reign FC (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Reign FC (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Reign FC (W) 45%, draw 26%, San Diego Wave (W) 29%.

How many goals are expected in Reign FC (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Reign FC (W) 1.65 · San Diego Wave (W) 1.3), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Reign FC (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.