Football · USA NWSL Women · 06/09, 22:00

Prediction: Portland Thorns (W) vs Washington Spirit (W)

Team pages: Portland Thorns (W) · Washington Spirit (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Portland Thorns (W)1.54

Washington Spirit (W)1.2

1X2

44% 28% 28%

Portland Thorns (W) Draw Washington Spirit (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Portland Thorns (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLDLWWWD

Washington Spirit (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLLDLW

Head-to-head

Portland Thorns (W) 3–3 Washington Spirit (W) (6 last)

Washington Spirit (W)0-1Portland Thorns (W)
Washington Spirit (W)2-0Portland Thorns (W)
Washington Spirit (W)2-1Portland Thorns (W)
Portland Thorns (W)2-0Washington Spirit (W)
Washington Spirit (W)2-1Portland Thorns (W)
Portland Thorns (W)2-1Washington Spirit (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Portland Thorns (W)	Washington Spirit (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.8	1.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3	1.8 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:30

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.65 → 2.65	Pinn 2.65
X	3.64 → 3.64	Pinn 3.64
2	2.28 → 2.28	Pinn 2.28

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
10:30	2.65	3.64	2.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Portland Thorns (W) 3–0–3 Washington Spirit (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 USA NWSL Women	Washington Spirit (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Portland Thorns (W)
15/11/25 USA NWSL Women	Washington Spirit (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Portland Thorns (W)
03/08/25 USA NWSL Women	Washington Spirit (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Portland Thorns (W)
15/06/25 USA NWSL Women	Portland Thorns (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Washington Spirit (W)
07/09/24 USA NWSL Women	Washington Spirit (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	Portland Thorns (W)
05/05/24 USA NWSL Women	Portland Thorns (W)	2-1 HT 2-0	Washington Spirit (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	22	13	6	3	27	14	45
2	Washington Spirit (W)	22	12	4	6	31	19	40
3	Utah Royals (W)	22	12	3	7	39	28	39
4	San Diego Wave (W)	22	12	3	7	32	25	39
5	Portland Thorns (W)	22	11	5	6	36	30	38
6	North Carolina Courage (W)	22	11	3	8	40	33	36
7	Kansas City Current (W)	22	10	4	8	35	31	34
8	Reign FC (W)	21	9	4	8	26	26	31
9	Angel City FC (W)	21	8	5	8	32	24	29
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	21	7	6	8	31	27	27
11	Houston Dash (W)	22	7	5	10	28	30	26
12	Orlando Pride (W)	22	8	2	12	26	33	26
13	Racing Louisville FC (W)	22	7	2	13	34	43	23
14	Bay FC (W)	21	6	4	11	21	28	22
15	Boston Legacy FC (W)	22	5	5	12	26	39	20
16	Chicago Stars (W)	22	5	1	16	13	47	16

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Portland Thorns (W)	Washington Spirit (W)
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
Denver Summit FC (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Orlando Pride (W)	2-1 W	0-1 L
Boston Legacy FC (W)	4-3 W	2-1 W
Utah Royals (W)	1-5 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Portland Thorns (W) (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Portland Thorns (W)

DWLLDLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
23/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
16/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-1	0	3	W
09/08	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	4-2	4-3	2	6	W
03/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-5	2	0	L
25/07	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-2	3	6	D
18/07	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	2	2	L
12/07	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-2	8	2	L
06/07	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	3-0	4-0	3	4	W
30/05	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-2	4	5	D

Washington Spirit (W)

WLWWWLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
23/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	11	2	L
17/08	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
09/08	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-3	3-4	7	4	L
02/08	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
30/07	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
27/07	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
20/07	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	2-1	2	3	W
16/07	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
12/07	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	2-0	2	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Portland Thorns (W) vs Washington Spirit (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Portland Thorns (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Portland Thorns (W) 44%, draw 28%, Washington Spirit (W) 28%.

How many goals are expected in Portland Thorns (W) vs Washington Spirit (W)?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Portland Thorns (W) 1.54 · Washington Spirit (W) 1.2), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Portland Thorns (W) vs Washington Spirit (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.